During the 16 -month war, Benjamin Netanyahu refused to say his idea of ​​Gaza's future. However, the estimation date for the long -term service Israeli leaders and the broken Palestinian flying land may approach.

Neitanahu will meet with the US President Donald Trump next week. It is expected that the discussion will concentrate whether to agree in the temporary suspension last month-and it will last four weeks-it will become permanent ceasefire.

On the outside, Netanyahu is committed to the two goals set by him at the beginning of the war: destroy Hamas in the Gaza Strip, and return the radical organization to capture All hostages, Israeli officials said Israeli officials said they killed 1,200 people and triggered conflicts.

But more clear than ever, these goals are almost incompatible. The battle was over soon, and the process of starting to return to 33 hostages was launched. The Hamas Gunner appeared to re -control the control of the coastal territory, the weapons within the scope and organized a large -scale assembly.

It is shocking that the Israeli public is the "comprehensive victory" that Neitaniah is often promoted (although the fierce offensive) is a local official that it kills 47,000 Palestinians-it is a chores.

Former Israeli intelligence officer Michael Milshtein said the war "did not force Hamas's collapse or hostage release." There are "tactical achievements, but there is no strategic direction. Hamas is still rule and still the main actor of Gaza."

The US -led international mediation officer will negotiate the details of the second stage of the ceasefire agreement next week. This is expected to be torture negotiations to ensure the freedom of dozens of hostages and let the warrior agree to fight. A complete pause.

Neitanahu will soon need to decide whether he is willing to see the transaction to complete.

On the one hand, he must be with his most important international sponsors Mercurial Trump estimation that he forced Israeli leaders to accept the initial 42 -day truce and return all hostages to his main goal.

On the other hand, Neitanahu must retain the extremely right -wing members of the cabinet, such as Treasury Minister Bezalel Smotrich. Smotrich, who opposes the ceasefire, vowed to leave and "demolish" the management alliance of Netanyahu. The stage ended in late February.

It is this obvious dilemma that in the past, Nadav Shtrauckler, a political strategic strategyist in cooperation with Netanyahu, was described as "Bibi", his nickname refers to It is a veteran leader.

In sharp contrast to Smotrich: "Trump wants to continue this transaction. The purpose is to end Gasha (war)." He said.

However, in Trump's turning point, SmoTrich and other super nationalist leaders captured the appeal of "cleaning up" Gaza recently appealed by the US leaders and moved most of the population to Egypt. , Jordan and other Muslim countries.

SMOTRICH said last week: "I am working with the Prime Minister and the Cabinet to prepare an operating plan and ensure that this wish of President Trump is realized."

Although Neitanahu has not weighs this choice-wide condemnation is a form of racial cleaning that may make the region stable in the region-a person familiar with the Israeli government thought claims that Trump's comments are "not surprising" Essence

The person said, "This is not the idea of ​​just arriving at Trump." "Israel knows that he will say that. They (the United States and Israel) are aligned and coordinated."

However, many people interpreted Trump's institutional comments as the opening remarks of the larger negotiations, not just the future of Palestinian territory.

Like former US President Joe Biden, Trump does not secretly hopes to associate the end of Gaza conflict with the wider normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia. The road of reversal to Palestine. The normalization of the kingdom was both the motivation of Neitaniah's end of the war-Riya was unwilling to agree to the outbreak of the conflict and ensured his inheritance.

As Trump's hostage affairs, Adam Boehler said to Channel 12 of Israel on Wednesday that if the US President's plan is opposed, the Arab country "should propose another option." He said Trump "always has different choices."

The preferred choice of Israel and its American allies is unlikely. This is the possibility of Hamas as part of the second stage of negotiation, and is willing to agree to let go of his arms and exile.

Netanyahu said that people familiar with the Israeli government thought: "I don't want to have Hamas (in Gasha), he provides support for it."

However, even more reasonable, various plans proposed by the American Arab ally (such as the Egyptian and the United Arab Emirates) to create a transitional agency supported by Palestine's power institutions to re -control the civilians of flying land.

However, the Neitanahu administration was rejected during the war, allowing PA to impose limited autonomous power on the occupied West Bank, and was violently expelled from Hamas in 2007 to return to the stripping dance.

Israeli analyst and co -founder AVI Issacharoff Fauda The TV series said that PA is the only realistic choice for Gaza's "alternative power".

He said: "Trump should now enter the second phase of the preferential discount of Gasha and Hamas in PA." "They need to make Hamas understand that they cannot be in power."

Other analysts believe that the huge price of rebuilding Gaza (estimated to be billions of dollars) will limit Hamas's bargaining ability.

However, Israeli intelligence analyst Milshtein believes that any such plan is "naive" and will definitely fail. He said that a much -watched Pennsylvania led by a Pennsylvania led by President Mahamoud Abbas in the 1980s was just fig leaves, allowing Hamas to maintain military power in the local facts.

Milshtein proposed the third way: to fulfill the agreement within the range of Gaza's ceasefire, bring all the Israelites back from the imprisonment of all Israel, and acknowledge that Hamas will continue in an foreseeable future in the future. Governance until the next war.

"We can't live with Hamas in Gaza, but this requires a large movement. We need to take over Gaza, stay there and remove Hamas for a long time." "This requires serious planning and Domestic and international this will take years. "

In the end, if the negotiation with Hamas collapsed, Neitanahu did not rule out the possibility of war he said in a new way last month.

Two people who are familiar with the matter say that Trump and Biden provide a written guarantee for Israel, that is, if Hamas violates the terms of the ceasefire agreement, they will return to the battle.

It is very important that it is unclear whether this includes the decomposition of negotiations in the second phase of the transaction.

But as far as you are concerned, Neitanahu has decided for several weeks. "This is a long time in this war." "Biby is not a gambler-he will choose the (comparison) option he thinks (comparison) after the last minute or even surpass."

mapping Aditi bhandari