In a tough local election week, a special guest in No. 10 gave an inspiring speech to the staff: former Arsenal manager Arsène Wenger is the prime minister. Keir Starmer has sought advice on the importance of building a team before. They face some common challenges to rebuild clubs and parties from low tides to extraordinary success.

Now, Starmer may face similar challenges and criticisms of Wenger in his later years: whether he can adapt to tactical rigidity when the result begins to suffer.

So far, a successful strategy is to win conservative switches and working-class voters who are considered abandoned. This has become a deep concern about the threat of British reform. In Runcorn and Helsby, lost by the painful six votes due to one of the safest seats of Labor, reforms show how it turned its machine into a machine.

But the cabinet minister told the Guardian that they were worried that Labor's own swing was swaying too far and was alienating its voters. On the same seat, Labour retained only 55% of the vote, indicating that many of its voters did not get the vote. However, the Greens began voting since July last year.

Nigel Farage is probably the biggest threat among some of the most vulnerable seats in the north and central regions. But MPs and ministers are concerned that threats from labor locations stay at home, losing votes against the Greens, Liberal Democrats and independents, just as more conservative voters turn to Farage, can easily become a factor in reforming seats.

An example of this double bondage is that Labour lost two massively volatile Lancashire council seats in Aclinton’s adjoining wards since Friday’s council scores drip into the right.

Advanced labour data appear to be sharing data that seem to indicate the party’s actual biggest risk is because of the loss of inaction on the cost of living and potentially cutting public services, as well as specific policies such as cutting winter fuel payments and benefits.

Green campaigners say the issues are often raised by left-leaning voters ahead of this week’s election, with some expressing their inherent disgust to date with Starmer’s record.

A new public affairs firm Apella consultant poll conducted by Seew Now found that the threat of progressive voters is important. Among Labour voters in 2024, 43% said they might consider voting green and 40% of the Liberal Democrats. Only 9% say they can consider voting reforms.

Cutting benefits can be a major challenge, mainly because of the huge number of people claiming individual payments, which can be up to one in five of some working voters.

At least three cabinet ministers told the Guardian that they were upset that the 10th place was obviously unwilling to speak directly to progressive voters. "Where are people committing to this transformative change? Why don't we choose the battle we can choose on our own turf?" said a minister.

Some say they feel particularly acutely vacuumed by two themes, climate and flagship workers’ bills of rights, which is perhaps the most advanced legislation passed through public places. "When you let him discuss this topic, Keir talked about it with enthusiasm, but absolutely no initiative," said a cabinet minister.

"I've been making Case 10 and we can't just talk about the right words," another said. "So we are at risk of losing the left voter and we need to develop a strategy to rest assured the left. It's really frustrating for me. Frankly, we need to talk to the Guardian readers much more than we do."

Some ministers believe that saving grace is the poor performance of the Green Party. "I think we're very lucky that the Greens suck," said one minister.

"If they have any charisma or populist leadership, we'll go a step further in the polls. I still believe that if there were any, we could squeeze this vote, but we should know that they might be voters and they won't offer us at all."

Members of Congress told the Guardian that they believe the focus on living costs and repairing public services has been lost.

"We should keep talking about the cost of ordinary people. This is the only way to defeat reform," said a MP. "A member of Congress faces a major challenge in his seat. “But that’s the only way we keep our core people present.”

The Apella poll draws this concern: It finds reform voters support strong interventionists, left-wing economic agendas, including nationalization utilities, higher taxes on companies and UK measures to protect national industries from foreign competition.

Among some consultants No. 10, the labor force’s most progressive measures to the economy were hardly frustrated: raising minimum wages and public sector wages, and protecting the vast majority of workers from any tax rise, even on fuel. One person said: “When you work, people feel like these things are baked and they only remember very hard decisions.”

For all those worried about progressive voting, there are many in the cabinet who strongly believe reform is by far the biggest threat to the workforce, especially as it struggles to squeeze the Conservatives vote.

"We won the vast majority of seats in the last election, basically based on the split on the right. At the moment, the split is disappearing because so many Conservatives are going to reform."

"If we lose voters too to reform ourselves, it will be that we will lose a lot of seats. If the next election is compared to the Farage-Jenrick Coalition, then it can be hard to squeeze out progressive voting. The choices in front of people will be very clear."

This is part of the rebuttal, in favor of the focus on reform, which was proposed by some in the Ministry of Finance. This argument is triple: In the next election, the government will make tangible improvements to public services, especially the NHS. Spending blitz could risk Leeds truss-style collapse; over four years, progressive voters will tactically vote to stop them.

The data suggest that the final assumption may be correct: According to more common data, almost 80% of the workforce 2024 voters are ready to vote tactically to prevent reform.

But there is little evidence in the Runcorn and Helsby results that the Greens began voting from the 2024 election. But of course there is important evidence that reform can even win the swaying conservatives if they choose between labor and labor. On the other hand, despite the unexpectedly strong reforms, Labour has mastered the mayor of West England by squeezing green voters.

More and more members of Congress believe that the major economic reset needs to be reset. This will be proven by the vote. For those who say they will no longer vote for labor, winter fuel allowances, cost of living and the lack of public services are the most important reasons. Immigration is only selected by 18% of switchers. In the case of priority lists, only about 1% of people refer to policies on environments or net zero.

Senior strategists are not blind to progressive problems. Starmer's chief of staff Morgan McSweeney told employees he knew the party had to expand its support base. "After each election, you have to rebuild the coalition because for some people the mission is just to make the Conservatives stand out."

“When you look at the widest coalition we can build…the cost of living is number one for all voters willing to vote for the workforce, and the NHS wait list is second,” said another Downing Street insider. “Having an effective health care service is the most progressive thing we can do.”

Other reports by Raphael Boyd