Cambridge, United Kingdom - The fate of Ukraine and the future of European security are pending as U.S. and Russian diplomats prepare to discuss a accelerated peace plan this week.
The uncertainty and terrible possibility of this historical moment, Russia accounts for one-fifth of Ukrainian soil, dominates the future atmosphere of the firewall, a meeting about Ukraine’s future at the University of Cambridge.
Organized by Victoria Vdovychenko, the head of the program, and Rory Finnin, professor of Ukrainian studies, under the auspices of the Geopolitical Centre, it organizes Ukrainian, European and British diplomats, soldiers and scholars. Together.
The dominance of Ukrainians and Eastern Europeans is that with Trump's re-election, the international order has no rekindled and needs to be rebuilt.
Some people talked about the reality after NATO that Europe must form a new structure and alliance to boycott it on its own.
"No one knows if NATO will be present," said a Ukrainian MP. Her husband is fighting on the front line.
"We have to realize that as Europe, outsourcing its protection to … Ukraine suddenly becomes a valuable security partner. We are willing to fight for you and provide you with a lot of valuable courses."
"Is the United States still considered a reliable partner?" asked another member of the lawmaker from Keefe. In the European crisis, she said, “Who will come?”
"If the United States continues to say something in Munich, they will face disaster," a former Ukrainian cabinet member said. He concluded: "Europe is waking up from the warm baths."
All spokespersons spoke at the meeting in accordance with the anonymity rules of Chatham House.
Over the past year, the security outlook in Europe has changed. US President Donald Trump said NATO protection is no longer a contract, but conditional.
"One of the presidents of a big (NATO) country stood up and said, if we don't pay and we are attacked by Russia, will you protect us?" Last February, he told the Coastal University students at the Coastal University of Carolina. "No, I won't protect you, and in fact, I encourage (Russians) to do whatever they want. You have to pay," he cheered.
This month, protection in Ukraine has also become conditional as Trump demands preferential access to Ukrainian mineral wealth to pay for the aid provided by the United States.
A few days later, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said in his first speech on European land: “Back to Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders is an unrealistic goal”, “the United States does not Believe that members of NATO Ukraine are realistic outcomes negotiated solutions.”
On Friday, U.S. Vice President JD Vance tried to reassure European leaders that the U.S. promises about its security commitments were gathered at the Munich security conference, but Ukrainians in Cambridge believe that Europe's security has become a tiny bit No doubt.
"If the people who delivered these speeches were women, they would be called all kinds of bad names," the MP said. "But with people talking about all the nonsense, we are analyzing the strategic value."
There is little trust in any agreement reached with Russia.
"I went to Mariupol in 2022 and went through torture," a Ukrainian woman said while serving on the frontline. "Our enemy is ruthless, so I don't know who Trump wants to negotiate with."
Ukrainians believe that once the goal of regaining all the land Russia has taken from it since 2014, bad results are more perceived than good results.
The second MP said: "The world we live in does not respect weaknesses, weak countries...I am not sure that the world still respects international law."
Non-Ukrainians agree. "If Crimea stays in Russia's hands, Russia will use it to actively rule the Black Sea and attack Ukraine again," said a Romanian analyst. "Any energy project in the Black Sea will be harassed by the Russians."
If Ukraine rejects any U.S.-Russian framework, Confederates agree that Europe will be the only support.
"Europe will almost certainly be bothered by the Ukrainian Reconstruction Act and may also be troubled by the bill prosecuting war, i.e. $70 billion a year," Romanian analysts said. No dissidents.
China's position attracted attention at the conference.
"China's plan is to divide the American alliance and to disconnect Americans from the network," said a Finnish Chinese expert. "They see that it's true."
The expert said China is not very satisfied with the Ukrainian resistance movement.
"They are not happy to see the outcome of the war. They want a brief war that will damage Ukraine and discredit Zelenskyy. The long resistance is disturbing. Now, China will try to position itself as a person who does not want to cause any harm. The peacemaker who came to Ukraine."
The third Ukrainian MP believes that the post-Cold War world order has no effect anyway when Europeans stop protecting themselves.
"In 1985, West Germany had 600,000 troops and France had 200,000. The Soviet Union was blocked by Germany and France. The United States only provided nuclear umbrellas. After the Cold War, it was a mistake," he said.
He called for "new alliances to replace dysfunctional alliances."
Chinese experts say Finland's integrated security model shows a path forward for Europe, referring to the country's comprehensive approach to national security.
"It's about building a coherent threat perception throughout society, i.e. preparing all the reserves and military professions, and taking on board, participating in exercises, etc."
"It gives people confidence. It works very well. No one in Finland is afraid of Russians."