"Nothing happened in decades; for decades, it happened in decades." Vladimir Ilyich Lenin, the leader of the Russian revolution, is said to have. A diplomatic whirlwind around U.S. President Donald Trump this week suggests that the Bolsheviks may have been in trouble.
For a protectionist president, he promises to always put the United States first, but instead has been busy with the best world stage in recent days.
He and his team made commercial deals in the Bay. Removing sanctions on Syria; negotiating the release of American citizens held by Hamas; ending military strikes against Yemeni Huti fighters; cutting US tariffs in China; ordering Ukraine to hold talks with Turkey; continuing quiet negotiations with Iran on a nuclear deal; even claiming responsibility for a ceasefire between India and Pakistan...
The pace is breathless, leaving allies and opponents struggling to catch up as the U.S. diplomatic trend goes from issuance to issuance.
"Just, wow!" an ambassador based in London. "It's almost impossible to grasp everything that is happening."
so what yes Continue? During this crazy week, did we learn about the emerging foreign policy of the US president? Is there something close to Trump's doctrine - or is it just a coincidence fusion of global events?
Perhaps a good place, this is the President’s visit to his bay, where he explores his vision for a world of interstate relations based on trade rather than war, in his words and actions. Trump said in a speech in Riyadh in Riyadh that he hopes that the Middle East is “trade is not chaos” and that the region “exports technology rather than terrorism.”
His prospects are light, pragmatic major events, and the state makes business deals for their mutual benefit, and this world can bring peace.
When he enjoyed the flattery of the Saudi master and the flattery of visiting VIPs, the president signed with his fat felt-tip pen, and the White House claimed that the White House had claimed to have invested $600 billion in the United States.
This is Trump in all his huge size. Applauded and received an instant win reward that he could sell home as a US job.
Some diplomats privately questioned the value of various memorandums that they understood. But they say the show is more important than material things.
Trump's speech did not mention the possible collective action that the United States and other countries had taken. There is no discussion on multilateral cooperation with the threat of climate change, nor is there any concern about the challenges to democracy or human rights in the region. It is almost entirely a discourse, without mentioning ideology or values, except for depriving it of its meaning.
Instead, he used his speech to the Saudi leader to make his clearest argument, but still opposed Western interventionism to the past, attacking what he called “so-called country builders and new officials” to “provide you a lecture on how to live or how to manage your own affairs.”
Amid the applause of his Arab audience, he said these "Western interventionists" "destroy more countries than they built.
"I believe sitting in judgment is God's work. My job is to defend America."
In recent days, when the battle between India and Pakistan is in recent days, this reluctance to intervene. In the past, the United States often played a key role in ending the military confrontation in the subcontinent. But Trump's White House was initially cautious about participation.
Vice President JD Vance told Fox News that the fight is “basically, our business has nothing to do with…we have no control over these countries”.
Finally, he and Secretary of State Marco Rubio did make a call to put pressure on both nuclear forces. The same is true in other countries.
When agreeing to a ceasefire, Trump claimed that U.S. diplomacy led to the deal. But this was frankly rejected by Indian diplomats, who insisted that it was a bilateral truce.
Trump's centrality to U.S. foreign policy is also obvious. It's more than just a simple truth. Shown is the lack of participation in other regions of the U.S. government that have traditionally helped shape our decisions overseas.
Take the extraordinary decision of the president, meet with Syria's new president and former jihadist Ahmed Al-Sharaa and lift sanctions on Syria. This shows the potential advantage of a person having foreign policy in his hands: it is a decisive and bold step. It was clearly the president's personal decision after a lot of lobbying in Türkiye and Saudi Arabia.
Some diplomats see it as a habit of diplomatic diseases and investment agreements Trump received in Riyadh. The decision surprised many not only but many in the U.S. government.
Diplomats said the State Department was reluctant to lift sanctions and hoped to maintain some impact on the new Syrian government, fearing it would not do enough to protect ethnic minorities and resolve foreign combatants.
Diplomats say this pattern of impulsive decision making is common in the White House without broader internal government discussions. The results are not always positive, they say.
This is partly due to Trump’s lack of consistency (or simply changing his mind).
This week, the decision was made to reach an agreement with China to reduce tariffs on trade with the United States. Trump imposed 145% tariffs on Beijing a few weeks ago and warned of retaliation. The revenge of American companies on China and the market plummeted, warning of terrible consequences.
So in Geneva, U.S. officials climbed, with most tariffs on China being cut to 30%, presumably to increase U.S. access to the Chinese market. It's a familiar pattern now: the maximum demand, threatening worse, negotiating, climbing down and declaring victory.
The problem is that this "art of transaction" strategy may work in easily reversible decisions, such as tariffs. It is difficult to apply to long-term diplomatic challenges, such as war.
Russia invaded Ukraine. In this regard, Trump's policy is favorable. This week is a good example.
Leaders from Britain, France, Poland and Germany visited Kiev on Saturday to support Ukrainian President Vorodimir Zelensky. In a call from the group with Trump calling French President Emmanuel Macron, they articulated strategies to demand an immediate ceasefire in Russia, or face stricter sanctions.
This is also Trump's policy. The day before he wrote on social media: "The United States and its partners will impose further sanctions if the ceasefire is not respected." But on Sunday, President Vladimir Putin suggested that Ukraine and Russia should have direct negotiations in Turkey on Thursday. Trump immediately took this goal, browsing his strategy of reaching a deal with European leaders a day ago.
"Ukraine should agree immediately (these conversations)," he wrote on social media. "I began to doubt Ukraine would reach an agreement with Putin."
Then on Thursday, Trump changed his stance again, saying that a deal could only be reached if he and Putin met in person.
This confused some diplomats. "He really doesn't know what he wants to do with the war in Ukraine?" said one person to me. "Or he just masters the way to provide the fastest solution possible?"
This confusing remix of the other two decisions this week. First, Trump agreed to a ceasefire after nearly two months of bombing Houthi fighters in Yemen’s campaign. There are questions about the effectiveness of expensive air strikes and the president's interest in long-term military operations. He repeatedly told his Arabs that he disliked the war.
Second, Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff held a fourth round of negotiations with Iran to curb its nuclear ambitions. Both sides suggest that while skeptics fear it might be quite modest, both sides could be a deal. Talk about joint U.S. military operations against Iran seem to have disappeared.
What unites these two issues is that the United States directly goes against Israel's will. Benjamin Netanyahu may be the first leader to be invited to the Oval Office after Trump's inauguration, but in recent days he seems to have been turned down. Trump visited the Middle East without visiting Israel. Without Israel's support, he lifted sanctions on Syria. His Houthi ceasefire occurred just days after the group attacked Tel Aviv airport.
Diplomats were afraid of Netanyahu's reaction. Can the rejected prime minister respond to more aggressive military actions in Gaza?
So how much has changed after this week’s diplomatic craze? Perhaps less than it looks.
Despite Trump's tour of the Middle East, the battle and humanitarian crisis in Gaza remained unresolved. A fresh Israeli offensive seems to be coming soon. One of Trump's main goals - the normalization of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia - is still far away.
There is no greater possibility for guns to end the war in Ukraine. Putin's ambitions seem to have not changed. And, despite all transactions with the UK or China, the instability of the global market remains large.
We do have a clearer idea of Trump’s global ideology, not an isolationist, but a mercantilist, hoping to be optimistic that capitalism can overcome conflicts. Our haste to him, his desire to clear the diplomatic deck (in the Middle East, Ukraine and the subcontinent) is clearer, so he can focus on his main focus, namely China.
But this may prove to be an elusive ambition. If it happened for decades in a few weeks, nothing happened in a few weeks.
Top Image Source: Getty Images
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