Trump-backed nationalists win Polish president

Warsaw, Poland - June 1: Karol Nawrocki, presidential candidate of the Law and Justice Party (PIS), voted at the polling station with his family during the Polish presidential runoff elections in Warsaw, Poland on June 1, 2025. Today's election is a fierce controversy between Navoroki and Rafar Telzaskovsky, the Liberal mayor of Warsaw, supported by Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Elections are seen as a test of whether the government and its central parliamentary coalition can overcome the right-wing populism embodied by PIS. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

Sean Gallup | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Nationalist Karol Nawrocki won the Polish presidency in a tense runoff match, causing trouble for the country's current pro-EU government.

The last charge shows that Nawrocki represents the opposition Law and Justice (PIS) party, which lost its majority in 2023 and received 50.89% of the vote to beat rival Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowskiki 49.11%. Early results released before the polls ended put the liberals ahead.

Nawrocki will succeed conservative Andrzej Duda, who himself won leadership in 2020 for a five-year term before being re-elected.

The Polish election fought in Europe, the United States, and with its Eastern European neighbors Russia and Ukraine as it questioned the future consistency of Warsaw with Brussels and Kiev.

The state's role in Poland is responsible for Congress is covered up, but the president retains important veto power over legislation. Duda acted to stop several leads from Prime Minister Donald Tusk's coalition.

Eurosceptic Navoroki can also bring considerable setbacks to former European Council President Tosk's pro-EU government, which repaired a broken relationship with Brussels and unlocked payments to EU funds of up to 137 billion euros ($156 billion) last year that have been frozen on the issue of legal domination.

37 million and the sixth largest economy in the EU are the biggest net beneficiaries of the EU fund in 2024.

"I am confident that the EU will continue to work well with Poland. We are all stronger in our peaceful, democratic and values ​​communities," European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on the X social media platform on Monday. "So let us work to ensure the safety and prosperity of our shared houses."

In the fight against Russia’s invasion to date, Ukraine’s formerly staunch supporters Poland provided extensive security and logistical assistance to Kiev and assumed in early January the presidency of the Kremlin Chief Europe Australia Hungary’s motto “Safe, Europe!” was spinning for a year.

Navoloki took a more important stance against Kiev during his campaign, citing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy allegedly treated Poland poorly. He also ruled out that embattled countries have long adhered to NATO's ambitions - a move that fears the military alliance to destroy Russian hostilities.

The test of right-wing populism in Europe

Crucially, the Polish presidential runoff is the latest test of the rise of right-wing populism in Europe, which has reignited since the victory of the US-led Maga in November with the US-led Trump-led. Nawrocki's victory broke the more liberal victory in Romania and Portugal in May.

At the first Conservative Political Action Conference in Poland last week, U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem urged Polish voters to support Nawrocki, denounced his pro-EU rival Trzaskowski as "the absolute train wreck of the leader."

"Donald Trump is a strong leader for us, but if you make him a leader in this country, you have the opportunity to have an equally strong leader," she said. "You can be that glittering city on the hills of other parts of Europe and around the world and know how strong you are, because you are elected the right leader who will protect it and defend it."

Poland maintains good relations with Washington, especially in security, in which case it avoids widespread criticism of NATO allies that have historically failed to meet 2% of the alliance’s defense spending target. Over the past five years, Poland has surpassed that benchmark, recording 4.12% of donations in 2024, leading the U.S. own 3.38% and investing in U.S. Arsenal, from F-35 jets to Abrams tanks.