The immigration pendulum swings again

Long-term operation TV Shows police Shortly after its debut in 1989, U.S. law enforcement became a propaganda gospel for U.S. law enforcement. The morality of the show is not complicated: the hero is a man in uniform, who is brave enough to restore order. They fight against shirtless, drunken loouts yelling in the street, or heading toward the highway at 100 miles per hour.

Immigration law enforcement serving President Donald Trump's massive occupation movement has always been an aesthetic police episode. In social media clips and grainy security camera footage, U.S. immigration and customs law enforcement officers appear in dark clothes, some wearing masks or neck gaits, making them look like bandits. The people they target may walk on the street, sit in cars, or live some other life. Few people engage in obvious criminal acts.

In a recent example, Maryland ICE officials blocked a 51-year-old mother and arrested her by smashing her car window while her teenage daughter was filming and crying while filming and wailing. In another security camera footage, Rumeysa Ozturk, a student from Turkey whose visa was revoked in the column, suggesting she cried in fear as plainclothes officials flocked her on the street and placed her in the car. (She was released Friday.) Last week, a Massachusetts neighborhood fell into chaos when ice officials arrested an upset teenager in an attempt to stop them from dragging their mother away.

Many Americans retreated in these scenarios, comparing the tactics of officials with those of authoritarian regimes. However, the arrests in the video do not show behavior outside the scope of a typical ice scheme. This is what immigration law enforcement looks like. It's messy and emotional, requiring officials to arrest people because many Americans don't regard it as a crime.

This shows that Trump’s bulk eco-sponsorship campaign is a bigger problem, a signed family policy commitment for his second term. Support for active law enforcement often erodes whenever public attention is being paid to immigration from borders to U.S. streets. It happened in Trump's first semester. It happens faster now.

Immigration is one Of the best air pumping questions Trump took when he took office in January, he still rated the issue higher than his overall job approval. But Trump’s immigration approval rate has seen a double-digit recession over the past two months. one Washington Post/ABC News/IPS's survey of 2,464 adults in late April found that 53% of respondents disapproved of Trump's handling of immigration, while 46% approved the approval. Other polls on Trump's 100-day presidency found similar results.

The president’s approval figures for immigration can be misleading because the measure contains two different components. One element is about stopping illegal border crossings. Trump's border crackdown pushes its lowest level on the Mexican border since the 1960s. The president continued to get high scores there. However, quiet boundaries do not provide dramatic visual images.

Another part of the president’s immigration performance is related to those who are already here. Polls show that there is much less enthusiasm for active law enforcement, which sweeps away immigration with no criminal record in the U.S. community. A recent Pew Research Center poll found that only about one-third of Americans want to see deportation of all immigrants living in the country illegally. Of the 51% of poll respondents, at least Some Immigrants should be deported, support for deporting violent criminals is almost universal, but among people who come to the United States as children, support unit numbers.

Alexander Kustov, a political scientist at the University of North Carolina Charlotte, studied immigration, attributed some of the depression to Trump's approval, a rebound in the "constant temperature" effect of bold executive action. Kustov told me there is a simpler explanation. Trump “does not do what most people want”, he said. He did a lot of things. He over-disclosed.

A Venezuelan man covered his apartment window after hearing reports of an upcoming ice attack on January 30, 2025 in Aurora, Colorado. (Kevin Mohart/Reuters)

"I think there is a tendency that if people doubt or don't like immigration, they'll just be happy with anything, but there are restrictions," Kustov told me. "People don't like the chaos at the border. But if you just randomly and unconsciously deport people without due process, it's actually very confusing, too."

Republican lawmakers have been advancing a budget investigation bill that would provide tens of billions of dollars in additional funding to the Department of Homeland Security for Trump's mass production campaign. By this summer, his administration may eventually have funds to expand ice detention centers, hire more private contractors and strengthen deportation flights. The moment the president's political capital gradually disappears, this large-scale injected capital is expected to arrive.

Not long after Trump Homan, designated as the White House Border Tsar, began to downplay expectations for ice that the ICE would bring together immigrants. He said ICE will focus on national security threats and violent criminals, “the worst case scenario.” It sounds like moderation.

However, this selective immigration enforcement cannot carry out a large-scale exclusion campaign. Trump is not committed to this road. I asked Homan in late December how he would maintain public support given that aggressive immigration enforcement on American streets filtered through bystanders’ mobile videos is so politically dangerous.

“We need to show Americans that we can do this, not be inhumane about it,” he told me. “We cannot lose the faith of the American people.”

Trump and his senior officials returned to power and chose a shocking and proclaimed campaign that sent immigrants, Israeli jets to Guantana Bay and drove others to El Salvador's nightmarish giant. Ice operations on the streets of the United States and their rumor have put immigrant communities across the country on the edge. Immigration lawyers and advocacy groups are re-inspired, winning in court, and focusing on the most sympathetic or outrageous cases.

The president and his aides tried to keep the crime by playing the crime of detained immigrants, most recently shooting the White House lawn with the cups of suspects and criminals. Homan and other Trump officials have been working on two ways: claiming they focus on criminals while using law enforcement strategies to actively improve their arrests that purify the wider range of non-citizens. Ice said three-quarters of immigrants arrested in Trump's initial 100 days had a criminal record, but the agency did not provide a collapse of the crime. Traffic crime, drug crime and immigration violations (such as re-entering the U.S. after deportation) are usually the main categories.

Trump officials and supporters of the president blamed the news media for his sluggish immigration approvals. The president is "being confronted with a very hostile media that will make all his efforts deemed appropriate." Arthur - a researcher at the Center for Immigration Research, a think tank seeking a close border - has recently reported that the ice has "deported" a toddler toddler of an American citizen. He said the child's mother had been deported and chose to take her daughter, but in a legal sense, the child was not "deported".

"A lot of people in the media have accepted the idea, which is driven by amnesty advocates, that is, when someone is here and there is any fairness, they should be here forever," Arthur told me. "If all someone is to do is go beyond the Border Patrol agents, then you can't have border security. It's impossible."

swing Immigration follows every election cycle of Trump’s campaign. His first time in office, public opinion was largely beneficial to his Eagle-Blank remarks.

In 2016, only 30% of Democrats told Gallup that they wanted to increase immigration. Four years later, after Trump implemented tough law enforcement policies, such as separating parents from children, called zero tolerance, democratic attitudes are more intimate than at any time in the previous 15 years. Overall, only 28% of Americans told Gallup in a 2020 survey that immigration should be reduced. "Abolishing ice" has become the cry of political gatherings.

However, by the end of President Joe Biden’s tenure, the harmful image was not the arrest of ice, but the crowd of people who crossed the border unrestrictedly. The percentage of Americans who hope to reduce immigration reached 55%, the highest level since 2001. Republicans shifted the most, but Democrats and independents moved to the right as well.

Former Homeland Security official told me that the Biden team surpassed people in their own way, which misunderstands Americans’ disgust with Trump’s policy. Relaxation or allowing millions of people to enter at the border is not a task. "They went too far," a former Homeland Security official told me. The official didn't want to be named for his contract with the administration, adding that Biden's more selective approach to ice making will ultimately benefit the agency and helped restore the public's image.

Tom Warrick, a former Homeland Security official who served under Republican and Democratic presidents, said the current administration will build a large number of immigration court systems and provide more due process than less. The government could try to clear the backlog in the court system by recruiting retired lawyers as temporary work as immigration judges. Polls show that most Americans themselves do not object to deportation, but believe that the government should comply with the law and conduct fair hearings to detainees.

Warrick told me that it was not easy for the Trump administration to simply ignore public opinion and adopt a harsh tactic of three and a half years. If so, that could feed the shelter movement that Trump officials are trying to eliminate. "State and local governments will become increasingly reluctant to work with ICE," Warwick said. If the government tries to punish those who refuse, "they will take the hero out of their opponents."

Stephen Miller, architect of government immigration policies and the political news behind it, attacked the detainees’ right to the legitimate process. Last week he said the White House was considering wartime measures that would suspend people's constitutional rights to challenge their arrests and imprisonment. The ICE does not need to publicly release the name of its arrester. Deprived of habeas protection measures, immigrants in grainy videos caught on the streets may be deported soon without the need to help challenge their detention. But most people don't show any videos at all.