Private organizations step up science of Trump administration cuts

Two scientific societies announced efforts to bring special climate change research into alternatives after the Trump administration dismissed hundreds of authors working on the next national climate assessment.

The Trump administration notified researchers earlier this week that their work no longer requires a national climate assessment, a report authorized by Congress summarizing the impacts of global climate change in the United States.

The future of the report is no longer clear, with some authors expressing concerns that it will be weakened, unscientific or inadequate when expressing the risks of climate change.

"I certainly worry that it might be achieved in a less stringent and evidence-based way," said Robert Kopp, professor of Earth and Planetary Science.

The American Geophysical Union (AGU) and the American Meteorological Society (AMS) announced Friday that they will develop a collection of special research on climate, according to a press release from both organizations.

The new series will be distributed in more than twenty peer-reviewed journals, aiming to "maintain the momentum of the work done in the national climate assessment after the authors and staff are fired", the release said.

AGU President Brandon Jones said in a statement that the special collection is not an “alternative” to the national climate assessment, but it provides “a unique opportunity to publish new research and review articles that can support U.S.-centric climate assessments.”

The White House declined to comment on why the authors of the national climate assessment released the state and the government's plans for the national climate assessment.

The Global Change Research Act of 1990 requires the USGCRP to submit a report to the President and Congress every four years, and the national climate assessment has undertaken this obligation in the past. It contains summary of the best sciences about climate change physics, its impact on the United States, and how society adapts. The report also contains local climate forecasts for different regions of the United States, aiming to give the public a better understanding of the risks facing their communities.

The latest version of the report was released in 2023 and is about 2,200 pages and contains 37 chapters. The 2023 assessment says the lower 48 states warmed an average of 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit since 1970, and the country is dealing with increasingly extreme weather and expensive disasters.

“If you are a state official, businessman or member of the public who want to understand what we know about climate change, economy, climate change and coastal or climate change and human health, you won’t be able to do that by reading 200 peer-reviewed papers,” Kopp said, adding that the National Climate Assessment integrates climate science and the ultimate findings of the organization.

Although the National Climate Assessment is the product of hundreds of volunteer hours researchers, the report was organized by USGCRP staff. In April, the White House ended the organization's funding.

"I have no idea what the plan is, and I don't think anyone will do it," Popular said. "They released all the authors and staff of the Global Change Research Program, so a part of the government is now open."

A message on the USGCRP website now says: "The operations and structure of USGCRP are currently under review."

Popular Science said the National Climate Assessment authors spent about a year outlining the chapters, which included in the 2027 report and reviewed the included topics. The profile has been sent to federal agencies for review. The authors of the report are now evaluating how to transfer the outline.

"Unless there is an organization willing to strengthen your work, you won't be able to replicate the NCA," Popular Science said.