In Australian elections, preferences have become more important than ever, as in the latest federal polls, the population supporting major political parties has dropped from more than 90% of the primary votes in the 1950s to just 68.8%.
The last Australian election saw 16 seats, with candidates winning 16 seats, which were tied for the most in history with 2016. More than half of the winners are independent candidates - and the most ever.
Australia's electoral system requires voters to take the number of candidates in their priorities: their first choice, second choice, etc. During the calculation process, if no candidate has received a majority, the candidate with the least vote will be cancelled and their votes will be reassigned to the voter's next preference. This is repeated until there are obvious winners.
Therefore, voter preferences are bigger deals in some seats. Who is the person that a country or patriot (the successor of the United Australian Party) voters prefer when the candidate does not?
In the last election, out of 151 seats, only 27 labor and coalition were not the last two candidates. Therefore, on a macro level, most preferences may end up with one of these two sides. The figure above shows that last time, 86% of Green Party voters prefer to end up being labor candidates. And 62% of UAP voters prefer to end up becoming a coalition.
However, exploring preferences at the seat level, we see that the way preferences actually flow in the count may violate simple left and right characteristics – it usually has a lot to do with individual candidates, or how deep they continue to go into the vote count. (Preferences are only effective when candidates are eliminated.)
There are eight seats, the coalition did not appear among the last two candidates, and the preferences of coalition voters only account for Labor's preferences. But labor candidates are also finalists for all of these seats. In the case of Fowler and Melbourne, the difference in the preferences of the league voters is the combination of the last two candidates.
The coalition was not in the last six seats, and green competition opposed Labour. Two other people saw Labor meet with an independent candidate - Dai Le in Fowler and Andrew Wilkie in Clark.