Opinions: Is the wild fire caused by climate change? The problem is defective

At this stage of climate crisis, becoming the first respondent is a violent upgrade. For many Wildland firefighters, there are unprecedented scenes in Los Angeles in the past few weeks-dozens of people have died, thousands of people have no houses, and hundreds of thousands of displacement-will be part of a familiar model.

It is foreseeable that the national dialogue also follows a model: Republicans try to refute or dilute the role of climate change in fossil fuel -driven. Others must decide whether to ignore or ignore them.

How we build this violence model is important because it guides our focus and focus on the solution Fight for accountabilityEssence Scientists will spend the next few months and years Expression of quantification This special disaster can be attributed to climate change. This research is important, but don't let it scatter the reality faced by our country: 18 of the 20 largest wildfires in California history Burning Since 2000. This is not because of Forest management or Partition policyThere have been some improvements. What causes catastrophic fires is our climate change.

Since 1988When scientists told Congress that when fossil fuels drive the catastrophic change under our climate, human burning carbon is much more carbon than the entire human civilization that year, accounting for 10,000 years. In the same ten years, when we should eliminate fossil fuels, the industry used Republican Continue to earn a record of making a record-about $ 3.2 billion per dayEssence Fossil fuel industry, NowPush us to the burning era of this new era.

As a firefighter, I first encountered this climatic violence in 2020. At that time, the recorded HEATWAVE doubled overnight Dolan Fire. The fire surpassed my 15 colleagues and hurt a few. There is almost no news in this tragedy, because the other parts of the state have never burned like before-there were 4 million acres of smoke.

"This is how the climate is chaotic." Write Los Angeles Times columnist Sammy Roth this month. Warm air means dry, more flammable vegetation. More frequent heat waves and droughts have increased combustible potential. Climate change Increase probability Extreme events will be layered in each other to form unprecedented conditions that lead to burning in Los Angeles. These conditions double In California between 1980 and 2020.

This is not surprising for those who live near the wild fire. In 2021, a few months after my colleagues were burned in Dorland's fire, another recorded heat wave settled on the West Coast. It caused an explosive fire-my boss is a senior person for more than 20 years, and it may be the most extreme he has ever seen. It is still spring. When we warned a town, I collapsed due to exhaustion.

I am lucky than many people. Hundreds of people dieEssence When my body collapses High temperature cause Practical line melting and distorted along the West Coast. In the city, medical staff Run low On the cooling supplies, they asked for help to fill the corpse bag with an ice corpse, and then pulled the unconscious coma victim. When people collapse on the sidewalk suffer Third -level burns. In the hospital records, the thermometer that aims to read the body's body temperature mainly appears at 107 degrees. This is mysterious Until the doctor realized The design of these instruments is not higher. Atmospheric scientists are facing similar problems: their tools are not calibrated to monitor the temperature we are in fire.

However, although the laws of these disasters are becoming more and more regular, the same old and old arguments of famous Republicans are still attributed to climate change. this Criticism of Forest Management Compared with Georgian MP MARJORIE TAYLOR GRENE Weird claim About Jewish air laser or Elon Musk scapegoat Diversity initiative. However, all these arguments have the same purpose in the end: by distorting the dialogue of energy policies and climate disaster, the attention is transferred to fossil fuels and delayed scientifically supporting climate actions.

Right -wing blame games forced us to fall into a false debate: disasters such as wildfire are caused by climate change or other factors. This makes people feel that they must choose climate change from the culprit.

In 2021, when my staff worked hard to defend giant Sequoia to avoid the most destructive wildfire encountered in the trees in thousands of years, a firefighter said to me: "Of course, climate change is real, But you can't blame all of this.

By letting the right -wing control in this way, we can have fundamental misunderstandings about the operation of climate change. A trade -off with others is not a factor. This is one Enhancer -The force of expanding and deteriorating existing conditions. Climate change increases the complexity of extreme conditions and becomes unprecedented. The probability seems to be abstract, but it can be regarded as a Russian wheel disk: our lives are threatened, and the fossil fuel industry continues to increase bullets.

Wildfire is not only that. Climate change is now operating in the context of most disaster: famine and floods, Humans,spread infectious disease,,,,, Armed conflictEssence When we regard climate change as a variable, we authorize the right -wing narrative. These narratives attribute the disaster to the fossil fuel policy, so that the decision makers can avoid the climate actions we need.

Climate change is embedded in each variable. The real problem is not caused by the changes in the climate, the poverty of the forest, or the development of Lu CK. This is the way climate change and other factors are interacted. If we continue to burn fossil fuel at the current price, we will not successfully alleviate the disaster technology.

By understanding the ubiquitous effect of climate change, we can design solutions that can solve the climate and local conditions that can expand its influence. For example, in California, this means transitioning fossil fuels, encouraging more prescription burns and strengthening houses to resist fires. Like disasters caused by the interaction of these factors, the solution must be resolved together.

You don't have to debate how many roles play in the recent fire on climate change. Change the theme: How much environment, economic and humanitarian violence is we willing to endure? Because, at Character Peter Kalmus, a climate scientist at Peter Kalmus, escaped Los Angeles: "How far the bad thing depends on how long we have convened the fossil fuel industry."

Jordan Thomas (Jordan Thomas), the upcoming "When everything burn"It is a former wild firefighter and a doctoral candidate for anthropology at the University of California Santa Barbara, where he studied the cultural power of shaping wildfire.