When the head of the National Bureau of Statistics first publicly defense the agency's failure of the key labor market data, it is not a fantasy because of the fantasies caused by the popularity of the error data and the increase of British economic increasing activities.
British national statistician Sir Ian Diamond told Congress on Tuesday that the data of the data is "very confident", indicating that since COVID, neither work nor has no work due to health status. The number of people looking for jobs increased to about 2.8 million.
Since 2019, Domons has been criticized in politicians, Bank of England and analysts, involving the depth of the ONS Labor Survey, which is the key opinion of the central bank on interest rate decisions.
Policy makers are currently unable to conduct any weight on numbers based on the survey, because the sharp decline in the response rate (resulting in results prejudice) makes it unreliable.
"Please, please, please don't think that I am complacent. I wake up at night and always worry about this.
But he said that even if the prejudice gradually fell into data, he believed that the increasing vitality related to health in numbers was real.
"What we see in unanimous investigations.." We always think that this is a factor in a few years after my country's prosperity. He added that this increase reflects the growth of young people's mental health and "labor flight" over 50 years old.
The ministers have previously believed that the non -activated and non -active (unique in the UK in developed economies) is a key restriction on economic growth and refueling inflation.
However, independent studies have doubts about the discovery of ONS. Bank of England said that since the beginning of 2020, the general situation of non -activity has no longer increased.
Despite the investigation, Dimmond said that he was confident in the overall trend, which was consistent with the record of welfare claims held by the government and reflected the consistent efforts of ONS interviers to contact people in more poor areas.
In the internal review, Dimmond's role in the data segmentation of the British labor market has been thoroughly reviewed, which is attributed to lack of strategic leadership and internal culture, which makes lower -level employees unwilling to attract people's attention.
He told Congress MPs that the decline in response to LFS is a long -term problem, and ONS "watch very, very carefully". However, he said that he only proposed an obvious incredible result in October 2023, when his institution suddenly proposed the fragility of the investigation.
When asked about the results of the Foundation's investigation, it showed that since COVID, Diamond said that comparing the figures of the think tank with the number of ONS "like trying to try Torquay United with Manchester City Compare".
Diamond said that since then, ONS has almost doubled the number of families it contacted to overcome the "very high level of flat rejection" to make a reaction, increased from £ 10 to £ 50, and recruited more visitors to visitors. Essence
He added that although the agency's goal is to expand its on -site power to 1,000, it does not have enough funds to reach the level of 1,500 review, which is necessary "to get excellent statistical data in all investigations."
At the same time, due to the length and design of the questionnaire, the online "transition" labor investigation of LFS is designed to replace LFS.
Diamond said the TLF can be prepared to replace LFS as early as 2027, which may be from early 2026. "My professional point is that I am very excited," he told the committee.
However, he acknowledged that ONS was still trying to recruit and retain interviewers and other employees, partly because the agency's salary was lower than that of private sector research companies and other departments.
"There is a market in civil servants. We said that our payer is relatively low.
Diamond acknowledged that ONS felt the increasing influence of older workers in their own wild troops, and pointed out: "Our best interviewer.. Since the popularity, not everyone has returned to labor."
Covid