The NFL's regular season schedule is over. The same goes for Betmgm's spread.
There can be a lot of changes between now and September - Aaron Rodgers has to make a decision at some point, right? - However, after the timeline is released, Betmgm is still worth studying.
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Here are five bets you should consider now, less than four months before the start of the season:
Jets vs. Aaron Rodgers (maybe)
The NFL has a sense of humor. They arranged for the Pittsburgh Steelers to start the season with the New York Jets. We all know why. If Aaron Rodgers signs with the Steelers, he will start with his former team. Is there any bad blood in New York? perhaps. The Jets are sure to try to get a good start with new coach Aaron Glenn, no matter who the Steelers’ quarterback is.
What if Rogers doesn’t sign in Pittsburgh? We cannot be sure until it is done. The Steelers were a three-point favorite in Betmgm’s Week 1 game, and if Mason Rudolph was their quarterback, that would have changed dramatically. It seems a bit high for a Steelers team that needs to get used to Rogers. Grab the Jets' shot as much as possible.
Will Aaron Rodgers be the Steelers quarterback in the first week of his old team, The New York Jets? (Photo taken by Luke Hales/Getty
(Luke Hales by Getty Image)Are Patriots starting quickly?
One of Betmgm's most surprising wins was the Patriots' 8.5. After the 4-13 season, this is a big improvement. One reason is New England’s soft schedule this season. Starting from Week 1.
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The Patriots won the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 (6.5 in Bett Migham), and the line was New England-2.5. It doesn't make much sense to believe the Patriots' improvement, but their transition Raiders scored fewer shots in Week 1, especially when Las Vegas headed to the East in the East. For a long time, this line will not be less than the goal score.
Vikings after European holidays
The Minnesota Vikings play two games in two foreign countries in eight days. While the Vikings did get rid of two road games, swapping them for neutral venues (which is an advantage no matter what Chiefs fans say), you have to doubt how they will affect them once they return. The Vikings are goodbye after the swing in Dublin/London, but you have to doubt whether they will be tired for a while. Four games after this trip were also tough: with the Eagles, in Chargers, Lions, vs. Ravens. Some sports books will post spreads for most of the regular season. The gradually disappearing Vikings considering the longer European hangover than usual.
Victory Commander
You probably don't have to wait for this. The Washington Commanders are very excited this season. That's what happens when you have superstars in Jayden Daniels and win a pair of playoff games. Odds may turn toward a commander's total of 9.5 wins.
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Last season, I was very high against the Commander, but this season has to be the opposite. They have great potential for return. The Commander won 12 regular season games last season, while 11 against non-competitive teams. They also have good luck in certain areas, such as the fourth conversion rate. And while getting eight indie games is very useful for long-suffering franchises, it also means they get the best from each opponent in the high-profile attractions. Their schedule has gone from being very favorable to more difficult this season. Considering how Daniels performs, I will be competent this season with the Commander this season.
Brock Purdy of MVP
There is a reason Purdy is not a favorite of MVP. The San Francisco 49ers weren't great last season, but Purdy's drama has declined. However, for the 49ers, there is a lot of optimism in the betting market (they have one of the six highest wins in Betmgm, 10.5 wins), so there is a story to tell about Purdy in the MVP conversation.
Purdy participated in the conversation two seasons ago before losing to the Baltimore Ravens late in the season, knocking the game over Lamar Jackson. MVP voters usually make decisions based on what’s going on later this season, and this season has done a great job for Purdy. Starting from Week 11, here is the 49-person schedule:
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Week 11: In the Cardinal
Week 12: With the Panthers (Monday night)
Week 13: With the Browns
Week 14: Goodbye
Week 15: Titan
Week 16: On the Colts (Monday night)
Week 17: With the Bears (Sunday evening)
Week 18: With the Seahawks
As you've found, this is as soft as the three prime time games. These help with MVP conversations. The 49ers went from the toughest schedule in the NFL last season to the easiest. If Purdy performs well after losing some valuable teammates in the loss, he will participate in the MVP conversation. It is worth speculating at an odds of 28 to 1.