Mexico and Canada are settling differentiation to form a more unified front to try to prevent US President Donald Trump's threat to the two countries as soon as possible next week.
Since winning the election in November, Trump has repeatedly threatened the country's two largest trading partners to levy 25%of tariffs on all export products to the United States to retaliate against the illegal immigrants and opioids The number of the country has continued to increase. He warned that tariffs may take effect from February 1.
"Trump is black and white," said a person familiar with the Trump team plan. "We let you enter the US market, what do you give us?"
Mexico and three -quarters of export products in Mexico and Canada are sold to the United States. The foundation is the three -way trade agreement "USMCA" (USMCA). The agreement was signed during Trump's last presidential term. It is easily affected by the requirements of Washington.
About 70%of Mexico's natural gas relies on the United States and has long been accused of being accused of illegal immigrants and drugs in the United States.
The Canadian Chamber of Commerce predicts that if Trump compensates his threat, the Canadians will lose about $ 1,900 each year, and the Canadian GDP will shrink by 2.6%, about 78 billion Canadian dollars ($ 54 billion).
Despite Trump's common threats, the relationship between Mexico and Canada worsened last year because the Ottawa Ambassador expressed concern about the reform of Mexico judicial institutions.
In November, the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau hinted that he was willing to exclude Mexico in addition to the US -Mexico and Canada Agreement, and agreed to Trump's point of view that there was a problem with China ’s investment in Mexico. This was obviously to please the newly elected president After that, the situation deteriorated significantly.
Officials said that these remarks and other remarks aroused the anger of Mexico City, but in the face of Trump's tariff warnings, the two countries were walking together, and a series of calls have been conducted among ministers in the past month.
The Belsin-Foster North Scholar of the Wilson Center think tank, Diego Marukun Bittar, said: "Political noise may cause Ottawa's delay and judgment to be blurred, but Canadians may eventually realize that they have better coordination with Mexico to Mexico to It's important. "
A key goal of reconciliation is to coordinate the statement of countries, that is, the US tariffs will be a proposal of double losses, which will increase the price of consumers of these three countries.
Trudeau said this week: "Trump has announced that he wants the US economy to enter the 'golden age'. This means that they will need more energy, more minerals, more steel and aluminum, and more wood , More concrete, and more what Canada has sent them to them. "
People familiar with the matter said that Ottawa and Mexico City also formulated a retaliatory tariff list, and at the same time, they issued public and private olive branches to the Trump team on the border security issues.
Mexico has prepared tariffs and called it "rotation". These products have been squeezed for several months and then turned to other states to target the main Republican councilors.
The Secretary of Energy and Natural Resources, Canada, said that Canada also said that it is preparing for the relative sanctions, which will "cause the maximum anxiety in the United States and cause the minimum pain in Canada."
The USMCA censorship scheduled to conduct in 2026 is ongoing, and Trump urges reforms to reduce China's footprint in the region. Public negotiations began in Washington this week. The president has asked US trade representatives to make suggestions on the future of the agreement before April 1.
Ottawa and Mexico City are preparing to welcome the re -negotiations of the Trump's promotion of the US -Mexico and Canada Agreement -the president re -negotiated the US -Mexico and Canada Agreement during his first term. It is not a loose but narrower "review" based on the definition of the agreement. protocol.
Former US Trade Representative Office officials, current Shengde International Law Firm Andrew Shoyer, said: "This is his game and his transformation."
Those who are familiar with the White House plan said that the United States wants to make changes, restrict foreign components in cars, and restricts China's increasingly increasing economic growth in China.
Trump also proposed a high trade deficit between the United States and USMCA partners to warn Washington, Washington, Washington, which may use "economic power" to make Canada the 51st state of the country.
He said at the Davos World Economic Forum on Thursday that Canada "can always be a state. If you are a state, we will not have deficit."
"We don't need their wood because we have our own forests. We don't need their oil and gas. We have more than anyone," he added.
In fact, about 40% of the refined crude oil in the United States depends on imports, of which 60% come from Canada and 11% from Mexico.
Mark Scharsez, chief executive of the Canadian Energy Contracting Association, said: "Tariffs levying tariffs will not only adversely affect American consumers, but also adversely affect US energy security benefits."
Canada responded to Trump's border request, promising to spend more than $ 1 billion for security, including helicopters, drones and increasing manpower, although Trudeau pointed out on Thursday that illegal immigrants and illegal drugs entering the United States on Thursday Only 1% come from Canada.
Mexico has also strengthened immigration law enforcement, and now it will recover the shelter applicants waiting for the United States.
Trump threatened to deploy American special forces in Mexico, crack down on drug trafficking groups, and stated in Davos that the United States "deal with Mexico is also good."
Xiao Ye said his approach had a huge impact on the conventional modification procedures in most trading agreements.
"This is the biggest chaos, shock and awe. He is using all this as a leverage," he said.
Ellen Smith's data visualization