Experts warn that Labor faces a watershed in its relationship with black and Asian voters as the consequences of Keir Starmer's immigration speech continue to draw condemnation from anti-racist campaigners.
The Prime Minister's "uncontrolled" damage to British society by "uncontrolled" immigration has been called betrayal by equal groups.
This is after a series of positions that threaten to alienate the workforce from ethnic minorities and left-leaning voters (reparations regarding Gaza, slavery, sentencing reforms and foreign aid) and support for the elderly, the disabled and children.
Insiders say Labour hopes to call for reforming British voters, while arguing that only Labour can stop Nigel Farage's party, thus preventing alienated left-leaning voters from avoiding them.
But the Prime Minister is accused of echoing Enoch Powell (who has estranged blacks and Asian voters for decades from Conservative voters, who said the country risked becoming a "stranger island" when launching the immigration white paper.
The speech is the latest episode in the Black Stock Organization (Foreign Secretary David Lammy is the founding trustee), described as a model of “narrative and policy decisions” that raises concerns about the “dignity, security and rights” that are undermined here and abroad.
“The ongoing refusal to address historical injustices such as slavery compensation, shutdowns in penalties reform disproportionately affect black communities, the deep humanitarian crisis in Gaza, are not isolated issues that reflect systemic failures,” Equality Movement Group said.
According to Labourlist analysis, local elections held in parts of the country earlier this month expanded the threat of reform, with the right party losing 153 seats.
However, reform is not the only threat to the Labor voting coalition. The party lost five seats in the last general election, with higher Muslim populations punished for their position in Gaza, with only 528 people remaining in West Street in northern Ilford, while Jess Phillips's Jess Phillips saved most of the 693 people in Birmingham Yardley.
Even in the country’s fewest marginal seats, the threat of insurgents on both sides can be seen. Of the eight safest seats of Labor, the second party is the Green Party, and in the other seven aspects, the second party is reform. Despite the more dramatic losses in local elections this year, Labor lost 14 seats for the Greens and 12 for independents, while 10 seats in Lib Dems.
Political scientist Anand Menand Menand, director of the UK's ever-changing IQ mind, said: "It's definitely a risk to labor because they try to attract certain voters who may be white, reform challenges. Assumptions so far, as you can tell part of the Labor Party, this is the main threat you can tell them, it's the main threat to them, not the left, but labor is the indication of the left.
“The workforce is in a very vulnerable position because they are challenged on both sides of the local elections.”
Starmer's speech this week involves the Prime Minister, who is minimizing the contributions of ethnic British and their British identity, which has the potential to worsen the bleeding.
In the last election, black and Asian voters were most likely to vote for Labor. But Labor's record of diversity lags behind conservatives, who have Asian Prime Ministers, Black Leaders, Black Prime Ministers, Black and Asian Family Secretary and Party Chair.
Sunder Katwala, future director of the non-partisan think tank, said that while Starmer announced policy proposals “too punished”, the tone of the speech posed a greater challenge to the party’s relationship with ethnic minorities.
“The principles of the white paper – controlling immigration and promoting cohesion while welcoming contributors – have the potential to gain widespread consent across groups,” Katvala said. “However, Keir Starmer needs a balanced language to achieve a balanced policy that manages stress and welcomes the benefits of hosting migration.”
Meanwhile, Labour missed the opportunity to create a “pro-cube agenda” to bridge the Katwala community.
The Muslim Muslim Council (MCB), representing 500 mosques and charities, said the power of feeling was shown among Muslim voters, saying that Starmer's language has attracted "deep attention" against the backdrop of the rise of Islamophobia, "continuous silence on the Palestinian state and triggered a ceasefire."
MCB Secretary General Dr Wajid Akhter added: “From NHS to social care, immigration plays a crucial role in our society – it should be recognized, not scapegoats.”
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The failure to fully explain the trade-offs on migrants, while ignoring the potential consequences of "far-right" rhetoric on ethnic minorities, immigrants and refugees, has also raised alarms.
Racial Justice IQ CEO Shabna Begum accused the Prime Minister of making the wording “calculated choices use Powellite”, and the CEO of Runnymede Trust said: “Starmer’s advice is certainly not a way to address the current economic problems that deceive many of our working-class communities.
"They have little connection to the reality of our workforce, and are associated with fear of the run of reform in Britain. The obvious result is that people of color are exposed to enhanced racism."
Downing Street “totally rejected” him in response to Powell’s suggestion.
Last month, more than 100 charities and non-governmental organizations wrote to Starmer urging him to stop using "demonized language." Among them is the Scottish Refugee Council, whose CEO, Sabir Zazai, urged the prime minister this week to avoid "crazy those flames", which led to racist violence last summer.
Zazai said Starmer's speech "blams bad political decisions at the feet of ordinary people who want a peaceful life" at a time when the immigration system creates barriers to integration by preventing asylum seekers from working legally.
"This is someone who once talked about the sympathy and dignity of the immigrant community, so it's really disappointing to watch him deliberately choose the path of fear, hostility and division." Meanwhile, the social policy wisdom contest on the agenda also urges politicians to think more carefully after last year's riot, calling Steamer's words part of a "worrying trend … replacement of goats and covering up government failures."
Local elections in 2026 - When Menon's so-called "highly concentrated minority voters" towns will enter the polls - will provide more insight into how much Starmer causes distrust to the community with the labor that has "weared away".
"You'll see it in all the sections," Menon added. "The most striking thing is Indian Hindus...what you're increasingly finding is class-based voting. So if you have a degree and you're Indian Hindus, you're probably the opposite of the labor force, which is the opposite of the majority of the population, which is the opposite of the majority links. So these links are wearing out...by things like Kashmir's labour force that goes over Corbyn under Kashmir, which is Kashmir's labour force, which makes you hindus a anden lien to and nerien to and nerien ol andenus.
With one year left before the city’s local elections, labor strategists may not care about it until the election is four years old - but reliance on voters with brief memories can be complacent.
“Keir Starmer gave up on the people who built the country and built the labor force,” said Enny Choudhury, the legal council of Immigration Welfare. “We will not forget this betrayal.”
No 10 Downing Street commented.