Despite a series of polls so far this year indicating that Democratic preferences have recorded lows, senior democratic strategist and expert James Carville remains optimistic as he points to his party's recent voting box victory.
"You can't impress the people who win the election," Cavill told Fox News numbers this week.
Carville made a statement the day after the Associated Press-Nok Public Affairs Research Center’s new investigation, the latest inquiry to cause trouble for the Democrats, six months after they suffered setbacks at the hands of the current president Donald Trump and Republicans.
Democrats have been in the political wilderness since last November’s election, when Republicans won control of the White House and the Senate and defended their fragile House majority. Republicans have made gains among black and Hispanic voters, as well as younger voters, who are traditional members of the Democratic base.
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At the time Vice President Kamala Harris delivered a presidential nomination acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 22, 2024. The latest public opinion polls show that the Democrats are stuck in new preference lows. (Fox News - Paul Steinhauser)
According to the survey, only about one-third of Democrats are very optimistic about the Democratic Party’s future. This was a sharp drop compared to last July, when six in 10 Democrats said they were optimistic. The survey, conducted May 1-5, points to the increase in optimism among Republicans, with an optimism about the Republican future at 55%, up from 47% last summer.
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Since Trump returned to power earlier this year, Democrats have increasingly energetic bases urging party leaders to take a stronger stance against the president’s sweeping and controversial agenda in the second open month of the administration. Their anger is not only directed at Republicans, but also at Democrats, who do not speak out enough about Trump.
This has exacerbated the plunge in favorable ratings of the Democratic Party, which has encountered historic lows in several recent surveys.
The Democrats’ ratings were underwater in the recent FOX News national poll, at 41%, and in a survey conducted April 18-21, 56% were unfavorable.
This is the lowest for Democrats on the Fox News vote. For the first time in a decade, the party is below the Republican Party, Its advantage is 44% and its disadvantage is 54%.
The numbers were reversed last summer when Fox News last raised the question of party favor in one of the surveys.
In the Pew Research National Survey, the Democratic favorable ratings show well on negative territory, with 38% favorable and 60% bad - in early April, in 36% of people, and in a Wall Street Journal poll a few weeks ago, 60% bad.
National polls conducted by Quinnipiac University in February and CNN and NBC News in February also showed that Democrats were favorable for the ratings of all-time lows.
Confidence in Democratic congressional leaders fell to an all-time low, according to a Gallup poll conducted earlier last month.
In the survey, Democrats' confidence rating in Congress was 25%, nine points below the 2023 low of 34%.
The semi-annual Harvard Youth Poll released late last month showed that among Americans aged 18-29, Congressional approval ratings for Congress Democrats.
"I have no doubt that this is true," Cavill told Fox News. "But one thing: When we talk about how the democracies or how low the image is, we are winning the elections."
John Ewing Jr., a Democratic mayoral candidate for Omaha, Nebraska, shook hands with voters here on May 8, defeating the long-time Republican mayor to become the city's first black mayor. (Megan Nielsen/Omaha World-Herald via AP)
John Ewing Jr. Ewing will become Omaha’s first black mayor.
Last month, the unanimous Democratic candidate comfortably beat the unanimous Republican candidate in Wisconsin Supreme Court elections. The high-profile and expensive movement attracted a lot of national attention and external money.
Democrats have performed well in special elections so far this year, including Red State Senate seats in Iowa and Pennsylvania.
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In addition to looking back, Cavill also pointed to the Democrats' hope to win Richmond's governor's office ahead of the November gubernatorial election in Virginia.
"Let's see what's going to happen in Virginia," Cavill said, who first gained national attention during former President Bill Clinton's successful 1992 presidential campaign.
Cavill predicts that “we will win.”