How Trump and Musk intertwined

Watch: How Trump and Musk's breakup will go on in real time

Even though observers have long speculated that Donald Trump and Elon Musk would eventually stand out, few have predicted the speed and ferocity of their social media hatred.

The political and commercial interests of the two have become increasingly interactive since Musk promised full support for the president less than a year ago.

In several key areas – including political funding, government contracts and their personal relationships – two men rely on each other, which means ending the alliance can be messy.

This complicates their cracks and ensures that no matter where the itinerary goes from here, they will continue to connect and potentially hurt each other in many ways.

Campaign funds

Musk's donations to Trump and other Republicans have been huge over the past year - a total of $290 million (£214 million), according to the open secret of the campaign finance tracking website.

Musk claimed on Thursday that the president won the election because of him and complained about "dissatisfaction."

There is an obvious counterexample. Earlier this year, Musk pushed $20 million into a key judicial campaign in Wisconsin, however, the Republican candidate he chose won 10 percentage points in a state in November last year.

Still, Musk's donations are a huge amount of money that Republicans would miss when they try to maintain their Congressional superiority in the November 2026 midterm elections.

Anyway, this may be the problem they face. Musk had previously said he would do "much less" in the future for the campaign.

But can the White House bankruptcy prompt Musk not only to withdraw but to throw money behind his opponents of Trump?

He hinted in a question on Thursday to X's poll: "It's time to create a new party in the United States that actually represents 80% of the middle?"

Government contracts and investigations

Musk's company, its subsidiaries Starlink and Tesla have conducted a large number of operations with the U.S. government.

According to BBC Verifie's analysis, SpaceX alone received a grant of US$200.9 billion (£16.3 billion) since 2008.

Trump realized that it gave him leverage on the richest people in the world.

He posted on Truth Society on Thursday: "The easiest way to save money, the easiest way to save money on a multi-billion dollar budget is to terminate Elon's government subsidies and contracts. I'm always surprised Biden didn't do that!"

Musk threatens to retaliate through the retired Dragon of SpaceX, which fuses astronauts and materials to the International Space Station. But he later backed off the threat.

In fact, canceling or withdrawing a government contract will be a complex and long legal process, and the U.S. government may continue to conduct a large amount of business with Musk in the present and future.

There is no other company that can build Dragon and Falcon 9 rockets except SpaceX, and NASA has promised to use SpaceX Craft for many space station and moon missions.

Despite these business partnerships, Musk and his company also face investigations from many government agencies, more than 30-more than 30 government agencies, as well as regulatory issues such as approval of Tesla’s proposed driverless taxis.

People within the government and Silicon Valley

When Musk's mission was to set up a cost-cutting Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), one of Trump's main drivers of change within the U.S. federal government, he had a wide range of options for his own employees.

According to the leak list of Doge employees, many of them have worked at Musk's company before. Even though Musk left about the hotel a week ago, many employees are still working in the government.

Some threshold employees are also closely linked to the Trump camp. Katie Miller was Trump’s first administration job and married Stephen Miller, the current White House Deputy Chief of Staff, who is the spokesman for the Governor.

However, CNN reported that Mrs. Miller also left the administration last week and is now working for Musk.

The loyalty of others in the Trump administration may be tested by disputes. David Sacks, who has been appointed as his top adviser to artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies, worked with tycoons at Paypal decades ago, and he was close to Musk.

On X, many Silicon Valley executives, as well as Maga-World influencers, are picking one side and parsing every round-trip message released by the president and the world's wealthiest people.

Voting company Yougov conducted a snapshot survey Thursday asking who people are with. The results show that 70% of Republican respondents said Trump, not the 10 people who chose Musk.