How the rest of the world feels after Trump's inauguration

U.S. President Donald Trump during a press conference at the end of the NATO summit on July 12, 2018.

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Much of the world is waiting with bated breath as U.S. President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House on Monday.

The prospect of more unpredictable foreign and trade policies, particularly the threat of widespread trade tariffs of 10-20%, has raised concerns among the international community and spooked financial markets. But Trump’s deal-making approach and his “America First” policies are not met with widespread fear.

In fact, many countries are welcoming a new era labeled "Trump 2.0".

"Long-term U.S. allies regret Trump's return, but few others regret it," the European Foreign Relations think tank said when it released a global poll that found that Chinese and Russian people were Trump is more optimistic about returning to power than other countries. A long-standing ally in Europe and Asia.

The poll of more than 28,000 people in 24 countries found that "many people believe Trump will not only be good for the United States but also bring peace or reduce tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East and U.S.-China relations."

"In countries such as India, China, Turkey and Brazil, more respondents believe Trump is good for the United States, their country and world peace than think he is bad for them," the ECFR said of the survey results. ”

made with flourish

The survey showed that respondents in India, Saudi Arabia and Russia were the most optimistic about Trump returning to office because it would be good for American citizens and their own countries.

Nearly 60% of Russian respondents believe Trump's election will be beneficial to American citizens, and 49% believe it is a good thing for Russia.

Followed closely by 46% of Chinese respondents who believe Trump’s return will be beneficial to China. While Trump has threatened to impose tariffs of 60% to 100% on imports from China, a move that could hit the Chinese economy would also be counterproductive and could push up prices for American consumers.

Russian soldiers approach a U.S. M2 Bradley fighting vehicle captured in Ukraine.

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The original BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have much more positive sentiments towards Trump - and the belief that his presidency could lead to a more peaceful world - than the EU, the UK and the South In South Korea, only 11% of the people surveyed believe that Trump's election as president will be a good thing for their future.

On a slightly more optimistic note, only 15% of British respondents think Trump will be good for the UK, which is enough for a "special relationship".

"Much of the world will welcome Donald Trump when he returns to the White House," the ECFR said when releasing the report. In Europe, anxiety is widespread, but in many other countries people are wary of a second Trump term. Either feeling relaxed or feeling positive,” survey, conducted in November.

"U.S. allies in Europe and South Korea are particularly pessimistic about the incoming president, suggesting that 'Western' geopolitics will weaken further," the report added.

Trump empowers

Geopolitical analysts say things will be different this time around when President Trump takes office, and the world needs to be prepared.

Ian noted that not only would he be buoyed by the size of the 2024 election victory, the solid support of a unified Republican Party, and returning to the White House with more experience, but he would also be surrounded by loyalists who are more ideologically aligned with him Bremer, founder and president of Eurasia Group.

Bremer told CNBC that Trump 2.0 will see the president have more power and influence than before, while the West and the G7 (including the UK, Canada and Germany) will lose ground.

"This time, Trump has more power relative to other countries, both allies and adversaries of the United States, so they are more inclined to listen to him and take him seriously," Bremer told CNBC in emailed comments. "

Bremer added: "Trump also has more countries and people supporting his 'motherland first' approach to governance."

"He built strong relationships with Israel and the Gulf states in his first term, but now adds Italy, Hungary, Argentina, El Salvador... and a lot of other countries. That's very different from Trump. He Show up at the G20 summit and everyone is laughing behind your back," he noted.

"Today's world zero is a very different environment," Bremmer added, referring to a world in which no single country or group of countries is willing and able to push the global agenda to maintain international order.

Market analysts agree that while Trump's antipathy toward China, America's biggest economic rival, is well known, his longstanding ambivalence toward NATO and anger over persistent trade deficits across much of Europe make the continent's allies particularly vulnerable. Trump's possible attack targets. More assertive and potentially hostile trade and defense policies.

European countries make up the majority of NATO members, and the EU is the United States' largest trading partner.

“In Europe we are concerned,” market strategist Bill Bryan (if he is not independent, can we say which company/organization he is from) said in emailed comments last week. "Yet the rest of the world has been largely unfazed by the scale of change that may be coming."

"It's clear that geopolitical boundaries are being redrawn. The foundations of the global economy are also going to be redefined," Bryan added.