How Canada's conservatives abandon 27-point lead
Reuters

The biggest disturbing thing of the night

Canada’s conservatives are blaming the blame for Monday night’s election losses, suggesting Pierre Poilievre needs to heal the division in the movement as he strives to remain a leader.

With a clear liberal victory on election night, conservative candidates and their supporters had a question: What just happened?

The party lost a 27-point lead in the polls and failed to win the election for the fourth consecutive time.

Although it won a seat and received nearly 42% of the vote (the highest share since the party was founded), its leader Poilievre was chosen as the seat he has occupied in the past 20 years.

“No one is happy about it,” Shakir Chambers, a conservative strategist and vice president of The Oyster Group, an Ontario-based consulting firm, told the BBC.

The party is now trying to figure out how it will move forward.

The top of the agenda will find a kind of official opposition duty for the conservatives - the second party in the Canadian Parliament whose job is to put the current government in charge - without their leaders.

Ahead of a caucus meeting to discuss the issue next Tuesday, Poilievre announced Friday that he plans to participate in the special elections in Alberta's constituency to win a seat.

The resignation of Conservative MP-elect Damien Kurek will spark that special election, saying he will voluntarily step down to get Poilievre back after what he calls "a remarkable national campaign."

"Unstoppable movement has developed under his leadership and I know we need to fight Pierre in the House of Commons," Kurek said in a statement.

Unlike the United States, Canadian federal politicians do not have to live in the city or province they operate.

A big question is whether Poilievre still has the support of its own party to serve as a leader. Mr Chambers said the answer so far is yes.

"Pierre has a lot of support in the caucus," he said. "I don't think anyone wants him to be removed from office or have super ambitions to replace him as a leader."

Many high-profile conservatives have already rallied behind him. One of them is current MP Andrew Scheer, former party leader, who said Poilievre should continue to "make sure we get the job done next time".

Watch: Liberal Party Wins - How Canada Election Night Is Unfolds

Others blame what they made mistakes.

Jamil Jivani, who won his constituency in the Toronto suburbs, felt Ontario leader Doug Ford betrayed the conservative movement and lost the party election.

The federal and provincial Conservatives are legally different entities, and although they belong to the same ideological tent, Ford is the leader of the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party.

During the campaign, he often made headlines in the attitudes of the match against Donald Trump and the U.S. president.

"He can't stay away from our business," Givani told CBC reporters.

Jivani attended Yale University with U.S. Vice President JD Vance in her past life, where the two became good friends, accusing Ford of distracting the federal conservative campaign and “positioning himself as a political genius from which we need to get clues.”

But conservative strategist Mr Chambers said poilievre also needs to face the shortcomings of the party.

Reuters Ontario Prime Minister Doug Ford wears "Not for sale in Canada" Hat talked with reporters at a provincial and regional leaders meeting in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada on January 15, 2025. Reuters

Federal conservatives accuse Ontario leader Doug Ford, another conservative for losses

Poilievre is known for his aggressive political style and has been struggling with the general public in Canada.

He has yet to get the support of popular Conservative leaders in certain provinces, such as Ford in Ontario, although he recently won the poilievre campaign in a provincial election earlier this year. But Ford did post photos of him having coffee with liberal leader Mark Carney.

"Pierre Poilievre never showed up when I checked out last time," Ford told reporters earlier this week. "In fact, he or one of his lieutenants told each of his members, 'You dare not go out and help'."

"Isn't this irony?"

Another conservative prime minister, Tim Houston of Nova Scotia, did not run for Poilievre either.

"I think the Conservatives in Canada are very good at pushing people away, not being good at attracting people," Houston said.

Not every prime minister stands on the sidelines. Poilievre is recognized by Danielle Smith of Alberta and Scott Moe of Saskatchewan.

Ford campaign manager Kory Teneycke has angered federal conservatives by publicly criticizing Poilievre's campaign in the election, rejecting Ford's notion that POILIEVRE lost his election.

He told the BBC that the bigger problem for him was Poilievre's failure to unite conservative voters in Canada.

"The people who constitute conservatives in different parts of the country look completely different," he said, adding that Poilievre's populist rhetoric and aggressive style attracted conservatives in the West but alienated people from the East.

“There are a lot of Trump imitations in terms of how they come up with the campaign,” said Tnick.

“Donald Trump is Canada’s biggest public enemy and I don’t think it works well.”

He added that he believes some of the "soul searches" needed by Poilievre's conservatives will need to include a plan for a "large and diverse" state to build a rights alliance.

Asked, Ford replied: "All they have to do is make a phone call."