Portugal will return to the poll for the third time in just three years on Sunday, voting in a general election triggered by the country's centre-right Prime Minister Luís Montenegro, who has been under pressure on the business activities of the family.
Montenegro, which leads the Social Democratic Party (the largest party in the Portuguese Ruling Democratic Union (AD) Alliance), is facing political and judicial scrutiny, which he established in 2021 and transferred to his wife and son the following year.
The Prime Minister denies any misconduct or moral violations - by voting for confidence in the government in March, saying he "wanted to end the atmosphere of permanent hints and conspiracy." But he lost his vote and was called a brand new election.
Unexpected elections are unlikely to significantly change Portugal’s political landscape. Recent polls show that, similar to the last election in March 2024, advertising is put on about 33%, opposition Socialists account for 26%, while far-right Chega Party reaches 17%.
Last round, the ad won 80 seats on the PS 78, while Chega, led by former football expert André Ventura, surged in support and increased its seat count from 12 to 50.
In this latest event, the housing crisis in Portugal has once again become a major problem.
"We are talking about the same thing we did last year," said Filomena Martins, deputy editor of the Online Observation newspaper.
"We're talking about housing, rental costs and the lack of housing for everyone. Everyone doesn't have enough housing because there isn't enough housing. The government has taken some measures to help young people live somewhere, but not enough housing, but not enough housing, and the salary that young people can afford." It's impossible. ”
Pensions, immigration, health care, and crime and security issues are also at play. Montenegro's caretaker government has been accused of conducting distant behavior after announcing the deportation of 18,000 irregular immigrants during the campaign.
But while it strives to push immigration to raise its political agenda (not to mention the massive growth of the last election), Chega seems to be planning to be banned from any alliance again.
Montenegro maintains a veto on any deal with the party, saying: "It is impossible to execute with Chega three reasons: its thinking is unreliable; its behavior is like a political storm, always changing its thinking and not suitable for the exercise of the government."
This small liberal advocate (will probably put its weight behind Montenegro, leaving his coalition several seats but putting him in the country's 230-seat general meeting - also absolutely refuses to do anything that can help Chega take power.
The far-right party has pledged to clean up Portuguese politics, and has also been hit by a series of harmful allegations related to some of its members. In January, Chega was accused of deporting one of his MPs after stealing suitcases at several airports. Another member of the party was driven drunk the same month, while one-third were charged with oral delivery with a 15-year-old underage male at the time.
The party has returned to the attacks in the Roman community in Portugal, sparking angry protests over some of its events. Earlier this week, Ventura had previously accused the country's Roma population of "long-standing dependence on welfare, crime and violence, and he said he would take the "threat" of the Roma.
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"It's time to stop shrinking and end this totally impunity!" he said.
However, Ventura’s efforts have been weakened by health problems over the past few days. He was reluctantly forced to run the last day of his campaign on Friday after falling ill twice this week at a rally and receiving hospital treatment for esophageal spasms caused by gastric reflux and hypertension.
Eunice Lourenço, political editor of Portuguese weekly Expresso, said the results of Sunday's election remained clearly unpredictable.
"The polls don't give a clear answer: the coalition government is in the lead, but the lead is small," she said. "There is no clear solution for the client. President Rebelo de Sousa said the most important thing is not who wins, but who can provide the best conditions to get things through parliament...we don't know what will happen."
After Socialist Prime Minister António Costa resigned in November 2023 after his government handled suspected illegal acts of large green investment projects.
Costa Rica has been in office since 2015 and won an absolute majority in the 2022 election, but has not been charged with any crime and continues to be President of the European Council.