Gambling WNBA Futures: Caitlin Clark, Paige Bueckers for MVP, Roy Race

Entering this season, Caitlin Clark is a favorite to win the WNBA MVP Award. Her injury changed the dynamics of several WNBA futures games this week, starting with the MVP - where we got new odds.

Let's take a look at the current status of the best matches of the year, favorites, competitors and Changying to determine where the best bet value is.

The most valuable player

Leader: Napheesa Collier (-275)
In hunting: Caitlin Clark (+400), A'ja Wilson (+1000)
Long photos of interest: Breanna Stewart (+6000), Kelsey Plum (+6000), Alyssa Thomas (10,000)

Collier took over the big favorite to win the -275 MVP award. Last season's runner-up in the WNBA Finals, Lynx tied for the WNBA best record with defending champion Liberty, the last two unbeaten teams. Collier is the defensive player of the year, leading the WNBA with 26.8 points and also ranked in the top 10 in rebounds (10th, 7.8 rpg), blocks (5th, 1.4 bpg) and steals (4th, 2.4 SPG).

Clark still has a second bad odds, even with injuries. The initial estimate was that she would be playing for at least two weeks, which would be about four to six games, about 10%-15% of the season. Clark still has a chance to take a break, especially if the team can keep up with the quarrel when she is out. In addition to various statistics, team records are an important factor in MVP voting. Clark leads the WNBA with a 9.3 APG, ranking in the top 10 in steals and blocks and top 25 in rebounds.

Wilson is a three-time WNBA MVP and is the best value for +1000. She was the winner of the out-of-control last season, and even though she started the season relatively slowly, she still led the league with 2.3 bpg, ranking in the top 5 in scoring (fourth) and rebounding (second), top 10 in steals and 15 in assists. ACE is 2-2 as they adapt to the new roster, but they are expected to be one of the best teams in the league. Wilson is likely to push the league lead again this season, like last year. It seems too good to be able to get Wilson's 10-1 odds on MVP to achieve.

Stewart, Li Zi and Thomas all had arguments in the MVP game. However, Jonquel Jones might mention a player who might be mentioned, not even listed on the odds board. The 2021 MVP was an outstanding start for freedom, with the team's second scorer of 16.8 points. She is in the top 10 in the league in two rebounds (seventh) and third (third). If Freedom remains ahead in the league and Jones leads, she may enter the MVP conversation before the end of the season.

New Year's Rookie

Leader: Paige Bueckers (-700)
In hunting: Sonia Citron (+800)
Long photos of interest: Janelle Salaun (+1500), Kiki Iriafen (+1800)

The Bueckers are an overwhelming favorite to win Rookie of the Year and have long been considered a prospect for generations. In addition to expectations, she also reached the No. 1 pick of the season, with the vast majority of bets winning her. She started the season with a steady start, leading all rookies with 6.7 APG, scoring, stealing and blocking second.

Citron was the third pick and started a good start in her rookie year. She leads all first-year players by 15.0 PPG while shooting 50.8% from the field and 40.0% from behind ARC. Her outstanding performances, along with rookie Kiki Iriafen, helped rebuilding mystics stand out. Iriafen leads all rookies with a 10.7 RPG (third-best mark in the WNBA) and is the only rookie, averaging 14.2 doubles.

Salaun is a surprisingly long photo that wasn't even listed on the odds committee early in the season. She was drafted in 2025 and signed with the Golden State Love Team. She currently leads all rookies at 3pm (2.8), ranking second in RPG (7.8) RPG and PPG (13.8).

While I agree that the Bueckers should be a favorite win, unfortunately, the injury may be rushing to change the game. Citron, Iriafen and Salaun are currently sorting out their rookie seasons to legally challenge the Bueckers. There is no reason to bet the Bueckers win at -700 ($70 win $10), so I would say Iriafen now offers the best value on the board with an odds of 18-1.