Officials and data users warn that the stability of the United States' federal government statistical data statistical statistics system that understands its population and economy is threatened due to budget issues.

This may further affect the production of data before the implementation of the new government and Republican lawmakers' commitments to reduce government expenditure.

In recent months, the shortage of budget shortage and short -term funding restrictions has caused the Economic Analysis Administration, which is famous for tracking the GDP of domestic GDP, to terminate some data sets, and leads to the reduction of the number of participants who have been investigated for the monthly employment report for the production of monthly employment reports. Essence A group of expert groups responsible for reviewing multiple poor data last year concluded in a report that "lack of many years of funds" also harmed the software and other technological efforts of the US Labor Statistics' modernization of data and other technologies.

Long -term funding issues have also troubled the Population Census Bureau. The bureau is responsible for a number of investigations from the federal government and is preparing for the 2030 Census. The census will be used to re -assign political representative power and trillions of trillions of political representatives nationwide. Public funds. Some people's census observations are worried that the budget issue may force the bureau to cancel some on -site tests of the upcoming statistics, just like the population census test of the Spanish community, rural areas, and aboriginal reservations in 2020.

Although the names of statistical agencies have not been listed in detail, some supporters are worried that President Trump and the new Republican Party's control of Congress call for reducing the labor force of the federal government may face greater risks of the country's data.

Former President Barack Obama appointed Erica Groshen, a former commissioner of the US Labor Statistics Bureau, said: "We are close to the core now." "Therefore, even if (financing) is exactly the same, the impact will also affect It's worse, because there are continuous challenges for generating reliable data.

Why today's government data is like "shaking infrastructure"

Supporters of the federal statistical system said that like roads and bridges, the federal statistical system is indispensable, but it is usually ignored. Grooshen compares its current state to "crumbling infrastructure". These infrastructure still play a role, but it has "obvious cracks".

"You are still filled with the potholes, but you have not re -paved," Grooshen explained that he is now a senior economic adviser at the School of Industry and Labor Relations at the University of Industry and Labor Relations. "When you find that the life of the old bridge is about to end, you have not reinforced the lower beam of the bridge. You have not developed a new bridge that must replace the old bridge."

Although supporters and officials say government data is still reliable, they point out that the future situation is disturbing.

BEA Director Vipin Arora said at a meeting last month: "The economy is not easier to measure, right? Many new things "" Federal Statistics Professional Association Council.

Statistical institutions are also facing a wide range of crisis in investigation and public opinion survey -the number of people willing to answer questions is decreasing.

In order to cope with the direct decline in the response rate of the investigation, statistical institutions have been trying to use more existing government datasets and other administrative records to help evaluate the country's population and economy. However, the former chief statistician of the White House Management and Budget Office, Nancy Potok, said that this process requires time and money to study and ensure that the quality of government statistics data is not affected. Deputy Director of the Census Bureau.

"Without money, they will fall into the old model. This model becomes more and more expensive, and it is increasingly inevitable. This will eventually affect the quality of statistical data," Potoco warned.

Potoco said she is currently updated a report released by the US Statistics Association last year to issue alert the risk facing the country's data. The conclusion of the report is that the main threats facing statistical institutions include the decline in the degree of public participation investigation and no sufficient laws to help protect the integrity of data from political intervention and the neglect of Congress appropriations.

"Our discovery is very worrying, because in the past 15 years, each institution has lost about 14% of the purchasing power. The remaining so -called free -scale non -national defense expenditures have increased by 16% at the same time." Essence "However, the tasks, workload and challenges of federal statistical institutions in the same period have increased significantly."

Why do advocates believe that funding government data is "wise investment"

Portoch said that with the last period of the government's closure, it was March, and she saw an opportunity to fight for more support for the statistical system.

"If you really want to reduce the federal budget, you will not want to cut those effective things. You want to cut those things that are not working," Potoco said. "Compared to the scale of the federal government, investing in some of these institutions to provide this information is not a huge investment. This is actually a wise investment."

The former Labor Statistics Commissioner, William Beach, appointed by Trump's first government, agreed to this.

"The statistical system not only needs more money. It requires modernization, especially the investigation. If we do this, we may spend less money on the statistical system for many years," said Now he is a senior economics researcher at the Conservative Think Tank Economic Policy Innovation Center.

How can the population survey and monthly employment report be affected in 2030

At present, the person in charge of many statistical agencies still face difficult choices.

Some census observations are worried that Trump's temporary recruitment frozen may affect the next stage of major testing of the 2030 Census scene of the 2030 census next year, which involves thousands of temporary workers.

Terri Ann Lowenthal (Terri Ann Lowenthal), a census consultant, has served as the director of the former House Population Statistics Supervision Group Committee. Help the bureau improve statistics. Colored people, young children, renters and other historical population.

In a statement, Lovita said: "Population census test, just like the population census itself, must be carried out according to a strict timetable." "If you fail to test, you can control the new methods and operations that can control costs and improve accuracy. It may make the successful population census — counting the population census of all communities in equal place -facing risks. "

The public information office of the bureau rejected NPR interview requests, and did not respond to written issues on the impact of freezing recruitment.

Economic data user Algernon Austin is the director of race and economic justice of the Economic and Policy Research Center of the Left Think Tank. They are worried that the current population survey may change. The survey generates monthly employment data.

"If we really want to solve the problem of racial equality, we really need a larger sample instead of smaller samples." He pointed out that there are fewer people participating in the survey, even if it is not impossible, it is difficult to release the press. Detailed statistics of race classification. Race and geography.

Austin said that if the government wants to reduce the population statistics in the limited employment data, researchers like him will have to be busy.

"After considerable efforts, we may only complete a small part of the work that need to be completed, but we can only raise our hands and say," We don't know what happened in that state, or that metropolis area, because we have no reliable data, "Austin added.

Editor Benjamin Swari