Fund manager reveals what she needed to change when investing in luxury stocks
Now is the time to pick stocks, says Sanlam Investments' Gooch-Peters

Slumping consumer confidence in China has hampered Hannah Gooch-Peters of Sanlam Investments from buying luxury stocks such as LVMH.

The portfolio manager told CNBC reporter Silvia Amaro that she needed a "larger margin of safety" before investing in the world's largest luxury goods group.

“A lot of European companies do get their growth from Chinese consumers, so when we start to see execution lapses ... it's almost a perfect storm for them. L'Oreal Because these companies are trading at "unusually high prices relative to the growth they provide," Gooch-Peters said.

Shares of L'Oréal and LVMH have fallen about 20% and 10% respectively in the past six months as concerns about the power of Chinese consumers have weighed on the industry. Peers include Estee Lauder — Gucci-Peters says it’s a mistake in China too — and Gucci owners dry It also dropped significantly during this period.

LVMH’s fourth-quarter sales fell 3% compared with the same period last year, and revenue in Asia (excluding Japan) fell 16%. The group's chief financial officer said at the time that Chinese consumer confidence was at a low point in the COVID-19 era.

"What we want to see is just increased confidence among Chinese consumers that it's improving," Gooch-Peters said. "We need a greater margin of safety before we can get into that part of the market."

First choice

However, one stock that portfolio managers do like is CME Groupone of the largest derivatives markets in the world.

Sanlam Investments bought shares in the company last June due to its "very, very good operating margins" and "excellent balance sheet," Gooch Peters said.

She added that she also liked the U.S. company's "cash flow is very, very sustainable, very predictable," adding that investors "don't have to worry" about the cost of servicing debt.

CME Group reported record revenue in October and earlier this year, and Chief Executive Terry Duffy said he believed his company was in a better position than rival FMX.

CME Group CEO Terry Duffy posts record quarterly results

Billionaire Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for commerce secretary, announced in September FMX was launched under its brokerage firm BGC Group.

Despite the launch, Gooch-Peters believes barriers to entry in the industry remain "extremely high".

“What differentiates CME from its competitors is that it is primarily trading-based, is a leader in interest rates and futures derivatives, and they have the largest liquidity pool in the world in U.S. Treasury futures, which is why it has so The real reason for high mobility is the barrier to entry,” she said.