File Photo: In the illustration taken on July 14, 2021, a smartphone with the PayPal logo is placed.
Ruvic Date | Reuters
PayPal,,,,, Blockage and confirm All are closely related to the health of consumers, and the company's investors are involved in its earnings reports.
The market began the year extensively, largely due to the prospect of massive tariffs on President Donald Trump and the prospect of higher import costs, leading to higher unemployment and reduced consumer spending.
Trade restrictions on China's imports have ended starting from May 2. The change is aimed at a change in discount shopping apps like Temu and Shein, threatening low-cost cross-border e-commerce volumes.
"The impact of tariffs and macros have increased the '25's wrinkles," Wells Fargo analysts wrote in an April 16 note.
PayPal is the first person in the group to report earnings on Tuesday. Square's parents Block followed Thursday. Confirmation is scheduled to report results next Thursday. Their share prices are more severe this year than the broader market. PayPal fell 23%, Block fell 32%, confirmed a 19% decline, while technology-heavy Nasdaq stock fell 10%.
Last week, as Wall Street showed some level of optimism, the Trump administration will make progress on the trade deal and tariffs will not be as extreme as previous recommendations, stocks rebounded.
Trump signed an executive order in early April to impose tariffs on more than 180 countries and territories. After the market fell immediately, the president quickly announced a 90-day pause for most tariffs, although the tax on imports from China was still as high as 145%. The general tariff rate for goods imported into the United States from most countries is 10%.
Fintech reported Megcap Tech's land during earnings season, Yuan,,,,, Microsoft,,,,, Amazon and apple All announced results this week. Tesla and letter Both reported last week and talked about the potential impact of policy changes on their earnings calls.
During a Alphabet earnings call on Thursday, Google's chief business officer Philipp Schindler said the end of the De Minimis trade loophole will "create huge resistance to our advertising business in 2025", mainly from retailers in the Asia-Pacific region.
While Google is “unaffected by the macro environment,” Schindler said, it has “a lot of experience in managing in uncertain times.”
With mixed messages from the government, companies estimate uncertainty and have little ability to provide accurate forecasts for the current quarter and the remaining time. In early April, volatility reached such a high level that it is now competing with the affirmative Klarna in buying, paying the market later, and ticketing market unbhub postponed their long-awaited initial public offering shortly after submitting its prospectus to the SEC.
Barclays analysts pointed out in an April 17 report that high tariffs will seriously affect e-commerce sales, especially for goods that have previously entered the U.S. duty-free. The company estimates Temu and Shein account for more than 30% of affected traffic, most of which are related to digital wallets, buy now, payment later providers, and card processing infrastructure.
According to Wells Fargo analysts, PayPal receives the vast majority of sales from consumer transactions, with 40% of revenue and total payments coming from international markets. The bank priced its price target on April 16 $84 $74 from $80 due to softening e-commerce trends and growing competition.
Paypal has been getting a boost from Venmo, but that segment is also threatened if consumer spending drops. Wells Fargo said growth forecasts for the quarter could be too high 5.5% based on available non-store retail data.
Analysts surveyed by LSEG estimate PayPal's revenue growth will rise by less than 2% from revenue a year ago to $7.85 billion, with earnings per share of $1.16.
Jack Dorsey's neighborhood is under pressure in multiple areas. Cash app users’ growth was slow in March, up just 1.3% from the same period last year, while Afterpay (the company’s purchase now, payment later) is tightening its underwriting company to limit credit losses. Barclays is labeled as one of the larger names for small business churn and low income volatility, noting that Afterpay volume remains related to highly disposable consumer spending.
According to LSEG
Sunders reported a 30% increase in monthly active users in March, but tighter credit conditions and wider economic cooling times could depress recent growth in loan volumes. Its business relies on the purchase of electronics, clothing, furniture and other consumer goods.
According to LSEG's consensus estimates, confirmation is expected to report revenue growth of 36% to $783 million, with a loss of 3 cents per share.
Barclays analysts wrote in an April 15 report In March and early April, this dynamic could distort some lagging results as consumers rush to buy before the tariffs were implemented in May.
"This situation will essentially put emotions in a gradual way," Barclays analysts wrote.
Representatives for PayPal, Block and Sunerty declined to comment.