Centre-right party can certainly win in Portugal, thus making record gains | Portugal

The Central Right Democratic League (AD), led by Portuguese caretaker Prime Minister Luís Montenegro, appears to win the country's third steal election in three years, but again win the majority, while the far-right Chega party can vote with a record 20%.

Three polls released by the three major TV channels (SIC, RTP and TVI) at 8 p.m. local time introduced the ads 29% to 35.1%, respectively, the Socialist Party (PS) (PS) and Chega competed for second place at 19.4% to 26% to 26% and 19.5% to 25.5%, respectively.

If accurate, the poll shows that it is similar to the last election in March 2024, when the league won 28.8% of the vote.

But the survey shows that the game between PS and the seemingly revived Chega is much closer. Last time, the socialists won 28% of the vote, while Chiga won 18.1% of the vote, which is higher than the 7.2% victory in the 2022 general election.

The early elections sparked in March after Montenegro’s vote of confidence in the minority government, attempting to conduct an increasing scrutiny of the data protection consulting firm he founded in 2021 and transferred to his wife and son the following year.

Faced with issues concerning possible conflicts of interest, the Prime Minister (denied any misconduct or moral violation) said he wanted to vote to "end the atmosphere of permanent suggestion and conspiracy." But he failed to win the confidence of MPs and held new elections.

The election campaign focused on issues such as housing, public services and security. Immigration is one of Chega's priorities – also raising the agenda, with Montenegro's caretaker government recently accused of running to the farthest after announcing the deportation of 18,000 irregular immigrants earlier this month.

Speaking after the vote on Sunday morning, Montenegro said he hopes to get a good turnout in the election, which will bring stability and “produce greater solutions (and) capacity for the country to grow and prosper, so that there is greater social justice and more opportunities”.

PS head Pedro Nuno Santos called for a lot of participation after the vote this morning, saying he didn't want any unpleasant surprises on Monday.

"It's time to call for participation, respect for democracy, civic participation, tolerate everyone's respect - but that's a lot of participation I want," he said.

Chega, led by former football expert André Ventura, has seen a huge surge in support over the past few years, making it the third largest party in parliament.

As the country continues to suffer from the housing crisis, high rents and real estate prices, average monthly wages in the health and education system, the party is trying to capitalize on widespread dissatisfaction with the mainstream political parties in Portugal.

But Chega's vows to clean up politics, and its tough stance on immigration and abuse of welfare systems - has been undermined by the kind of corruption and deceptive scandal it has been against.

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In January, Ventura's party was accused of firing one of the MPs after stealing suitcases at several airports. Another member of the party was driven drunk the same month, while one-third were charged with oral delivery with a 15-year-old underage male at the time.

Montenegro firmly maintained the veto of any deal with Chega, saying: "It is impossible to execute with Chega three reasons: its mind is unreliable; its behavior is like a political storm, always changing its mind, and not suitable for government exercise."

This small liberal advocate (will probably put its weight behind Montenegro, leaving his coalition several seats but putting him in the country's 230-seat general meeting - also absolutely refuses to do anything that can help Chega take power.

The final days of the Chega leader's campaign were interrupted due to poor health.

Ventura made a surprise appearance in Friday's party's last campaign after falling ill twice this week and receiving hospital treatment for esophageal spasm caused by gastric reflux and hypertension.

Ventura was shocked by his health on Sunday, urging people to go out and vote.

"Today has nothing to do with my health," he said in Lisbon. "It is the health of democracy that is threatened … make a choice, leave home, choose the future of the country, whatever it is, no matter who it is. Today is in our hands."