Economist, banker and politician Mark Carney has long announced a simple faith article in the midst of a crisis: "A plan has no plan."

His rapid rise in Canada's highest work may be seen as evidence of such preparation.

But Carney’s election victory on Monday was shaped by a series of accidental events that were more meticulous than the accidental events that depend on luck and circumstances.

Half a year ago, the Liberal Party was in crisis.

In late October, nearly twenty backstage Liberal Congressmen signed a letter calling on then-Prince Justin Trudeau to resign for fear that his unpopularity could lead to a scattered election defeat. In addition, a "code red" petition was circulated among supporters of grassroots party, calling for a secret vote against Trudeau's leaders.

The Conservatives have tried to make a series of moves through a motion of distrust to lower the government as the Conservatives cut their teeth as they promised it would be a bruised federal election.

Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, a populist and parliamentary attack dog, used every public appearance to demand elections and slammed the government for its ineffective response to the country's housing shortages and cost-of-living crisis.

Liberals lag behind the Conservative Party by more than 20 points, with the country's two poll aggregates having more than 99% conservative wins.

Trudeau's refusal to resign has caused frustration from the Liberal Party - especially given that U.S. President Joe Biden agreed to resign for Kamala Harris.

"Trudeo doesn't want to leave. People in the party want him to go, not even the ones who speak out publicly. They've been waiting for him to do the right thing and he doesn't do it."

The party has no obvious heirs and no clear policy trajectory that can reverse its dismal popularity. Even if Trudeau exerted growing pressure, by late October, there were 30 days left for parliamentary squads, which gave the Conservatives enough opportunity to attack the rudderless liberals in the House of Commons.

Finally, there was a mixture of external forces and internal internal strife, which ultimately lowered the Prime Minister.

In late December, Trudeau's finance minister, Chrystia Freeland, and one of his closest allies, resigned, and was told her boss wanted to replace her with Carney to highlight his unpopular government's economic certificate. Carney rejected the official and Freeland's stern resignation letter placed the party in Tailspin.

Not long after, Donald Trump began to suggest that – seemingly serious – the United States should annex Canada and make it the 51st state, a task he said could be achieved through economic coercion.

"It is important to remember that Carney candidates are absent from this crisis differently," said Peter Donolo, political strategist and communications director for Prime Minister Jean Chrétien. "His mistakes should have been more, they would have been expanded. He will be criticized and scrutinized."

These mistakes, including the name of the star candidate she survived and the school shootings, apparently during the brief campaign. The same is true when Carney answers discomforts about transferring investments to offshore accounts in the Cayman Islands, while working as an executive at investment firm Brookfield.

"But because his background is so specific, he seems to have almost customized the moment," Donolo said.

Politically, timing is often as important as policy.

"Trudeau's time to leave was perfect. When Carney came in, there wasn't a long, engaging leadership program that cuts the party. And, Carney could immediately prove that he had no seats because he didn't have one. The Conservatives didn't have enough time to really mobilize Carney," Turnbull said.

"In the end, Carney is the right candidate for the moment, and Pierre Poilievre is the right candidate for the last minute - that moment expires before the Conservatives can get what they dream about: the election for Justin Trudeau."