Cannes 2025 Oscar Hope: New Wave, Jennifer Lawrence

One week after the opening of the 2025 Cannes Film Festival, it seems that everyone on the festival has at least three things.

First, in economic times that may reflect these uncertainties (thanks to Trump), along Croisette's propaganda, a large number of devices, stands and stunts can often be found. This year, it's really just a luxury car, in front of Carlton Task: Impossible - The final estimate exhibit.

Second, few high-profile acquisition announcements are for the same reason, or because many highly anticipated films have been overwhelmed by the celebrations so far, or perhaps because the distributors are in the backEmilia Pérez ERA, before making a submission, spends more time reviewing potential partners.

Third, only a year after a record-breaking film in the Cannes premiere, it was awarded an Oscar nomination and victory, with only a few appearing, seemingly possessing quality, theme and potential endurance that could last more than half a year in Oscar talks, when the academy members began voting.

In my opinion, the strongest bet in the movies screened so far is Richard LinklaterCompetition/sales title New Wavelove for the French New Wave, especially the classics of 1960 Can't breathe.

It will never find a more friendly audience than the palace: it is French, it quotes the Cannes Film Festival as a film about the magic of the film, shot in beautiful black and white, a wet dream of Cineaste, so it gets a fierce applause after its premiere. (Contemporary of Linklater Quentin Tarantino It seems particularly excited about it. )

New Wave It'll likely walk away with Palme d'Or or other big prizes - I think this will attract jury members from many competitors. Juliette Binocheon a close call, the juror will break for Linklater, a respected filmmaker and the Frenchman (Francophile) (see: His forward Trilogy) Never won the big Cannes Grand Prix.

In the right hands, this movie - like artistanother unusual ode that swept the Oscars 14 years ago - likely to compete for best picture, director, script (I'm not sure if it's considered original or adaptable), photography, film editor, and more.

The big question that might end sales is whether France will succumb to its best international featured Oscars, a film directed by the Americans but French in almost every way. (France does not have a good track record of making strategic and smart decisions in the category.) If so, it can be hard to beat.

New Wave It makes sense for many distributors from Sony ClassicMichael Barker and Tom Bernard Even being selected for the French Legion of Honor) and working directly with some new Wave filmmakers who later in their careers, Sideshow/Janus has the rights to many New Wave champions, and are offered through their Criterion Collection Collection and Criterion Channel.

But I will also follow Netflix, and I "run business" with France last year (taken by taking Emilia Pérez As much as possible and Linklater (distributes his movies Killer In a selected theater, put it before the service). As far as its Oscar prospects are concerned, the film has the advantage of streamers: it won't face the pressure of performing at the box office - which is uncertain.

Another non-English sales/contest champion unveiled in the first week of the festival and may be participating in the best international featured contest: Mascha SchilinskiGerman The sound of fallingIt is a drama that can jump between four different eras, emphasizing women living on the same farm in Germany. It received a rave from critics, but polarized audiences, so I doubt its awards, or even our distribution - the prospect depends on the extent to which the jury decides to acknowledge it. This year's jury is certainly not a problem The sound of falling What did the jury last year do Emilia Pérez And awarded her Best Actress Award group woman.

But to achieve this, the jury has to go through - I'm not sure if they should or should- Jennifer Lawrencehe excelled in a very disturbing film about postpartum depression, Lynne Ramsay' Death, my loveJ. Law also served as a producer. It's a real reward for four Oscar nominees who won Best Actress of 2012 silver linings Playbook. Mubi, who had Best Actress Contender last season substance' Demi Mooreobviously real Want another shot at the finish line in the category because it coughed up for $10,000 Death, my lovedistribution rights.

Little Pocket also loves three movies star-directed movies that are played in the Un The The The Riction section. The two of them, Harris Dickinson' urchin and Kristen Stewart' The age of waterstill seeking U.S. distribution. third, Scarlett Johnson' Eleanor GreatThere is indeed a US distributor (Sony Classics) and can push 95-year-olds June Squibb Enter the best actress conversation. But these will be more targeted dramas, like another undetermined option, Harry LeidenDirector's debut pillionthis is a fanatical admirer, but will not serve everyone.

A24 Minimum 2 lowestthe fifth largest screen pairing Spike Lee and Denzel Washingtonfilter and exit the competition. And Spike's joints sometimes resonate with the academy (see: Blackkklansman), I'm not sure this will- although Howard DrosingThe score is particularly memorable. Also suitable for the company's competition movies, Eddington,,,,, Ali AstorThe drama of the tensions related to the United States.

At the same time, the focus' Phoenix Planlatest ideas Wes Andersonit is interesting and features his usual mind production design. But this is not as widespread as 2014 Budapest HotelThis is his only narrative feature, and he has registered an Oscar nomination in addition to the writing and craft categories.

Last year's Cannes debut flowit continues to win the Oscar for Best Animation Features. ArcoFrench language, Natalie Portman- Animation/production works premiered at this year's Cannes Film Festival, as long as it lands well, it may also go a long way. I can see Sony Classics or IFC (or renamed in this year's "Independent Film Company") bringing the flyer.

I'll also pay attention Lucky luthe feature director's debut Lloyd Lee Choimiddle descendants of Canadians. The film has no scammers in the two-week section of the directors and is the current version Bicycle thiefthe operation moved to New York, and the victim was Chinese immigrants. Given its small size and largely Chinese, I heard publishers are trying to measure whether Canada will submit it to the best international featured Oscars before the leap of faith.

Other Oscar contenders will surely appear from the second week of the festival. The match schedule includes Norway Emotional valuea party of filmmakers Joachim Trier and the stars Re-fixedHe previously collaborated on the Cannes and Oscar nominations for 2021 films The Worst People in the Worldthe latest adventure can make neon a sixth consecutive Palme d'Or; sales title Young mother's homefrom Belgian brothers Jean-Pierre Dardenne and Luc Dardennethey won more Cannes awards than anyone else but have not won an Oscar yet; and Josh O'Connor and Paul Mescal vehicle The history of sound (Don't use The sound of falling), Mooby is dealing with it in the United States.