By Metal Miner
Renewable energy MMI (Monthly Metal Index) moved sideways, up slightly by 2.83%. Metal prices, including prices for copper, steel, lithium and cobalt, have seen big fluctuations in recent weeks as U.S. companies scramble to purchase materials before imposing tariffs. For example, U.S. copper prices soared in the first quarter as buyers competed before potential import restrictions, until early April when China retaliated against huge tariffs on U.S. goods.
Trading data shows that our copper futures plummeted 14% in a week, briefly falling below $9,000 per ton on LME. Volatility reflects the classic imported bill game. According to Reuters, since the U.S. price is above the global benchmark of $756/ton, U.S. stocks can increase once actual responsibilities begin. Currently, the short-term trajectory of copper has fallen from its peak in March as tariffs increase pressure on buyers.
The steel sector showed mild correction. Earlier this year, tariff anxiety excited us and raised plate prices to years highs, but by early April, they had upgraded. A market report pointed out that U.S. hot coils slipped from their March peak (about $920/st), while steel plate bids were boiling. Meanwhile, the Mill’s domestic delivery time has shrunk from the chaotic early March sprint, indicating that short-term demand has been eased.
Nevertheless, with the “countdown” tariffs announced on April 4 leaving items that have been protected, such as old 25% taxes such as steel and aluminum, U.S. steel manufacturers are still in a tight state of handling.
Battery Metal tells a mixed story. After the surge last year, lithium prices are still under tremendous pressure. S&P Global notes that new Spodumene output and the proliferation of high inventory levels have driven unprecedented oversupply. In fact, new mining projects and operations in China have restarted, with prices for carbonate and lithium hydroxide lower throughout the first quarter.
S&P forecasts to Q2 2025 Q2. This Glut knocked lithium down nearly three years of lows on some Asian indexes, raising questions about whether it was a reset or a long-term trend.
Cobalt prices are also fluctuating as a year of oversupply pushes prices to a nine-year low in January. In late February, the Democratic Republic of the Congo imposed a four-month export moratorium. By March, cobalt immediately soared about 40% and closed at about $34,000 per ton, but this disruption put the market at an advantage throughout May.
Reports show that few traders expect Congolese goods to recover once they recover. Nevertheless, even as long-term demand for electric vehicle batteries and long-term demand for grid storage continues to grow, the haste of Q1 still demonstrates the sensitivity of cobalt to geopolitical changes.
The policy shift covering all of these trends, especially after the 2024 Trump campaign announced a broad tariff agenda plan to reshape the metal market. The White House "Factory Note" dated April 2, 2025 outlines the new 10% tax on all imported products that will come into effect April 5.
It features higher reciprocity rates in countries operating large trade surpluses, which many believe may have a significant impact on metal prices. These tariffs have since been put on hold until July. However, if these import restrictions do occur, the market may face short-term volatility.
While Trump’s plan has taken over copper in new tariffs, a widespread trade war could still limit the supply of battery metals used by the clean energy sector, including lithium and cobalt. The U.S. renewable projects and electric vehicle supply chains are still metal-intensive, with current market signals mixed together. Currently, copper and steel prices have suspended tariff rallies, while lithium and cobalt are adapted to large supply.
Cereal-oriented electrical steel MMI (Monthly Metal Index) grew 10.17% per month.
In the current world of metal prices, electric grade steel has its own story to tell. In recent weeks, LOAS prices have been relatively flat. An industry index invests North American stocks at about $3.87 per kilogram in May (about 0.5% of the monthly increase). And, with the small amount of new mills and stocks, any surge in electrical steel orders can be kept contracted throughout the summer.
Although grain-oriented steel demand is increasing the requirements for efficiency, the strict production base of crafts means that any icing in imports could make American Transformers wait. There have always been buyers and planners in prison for the proposed trade roadside.
By the metal miner team
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