Saturday was the 151st match of the Kentucky Derby, the greatest two minutes of a sporting game and one of the most bets of the year. According to Churchill Downs, $210.7 million was bet on the 2024 game. That figure is higher than the $188 million in the previous year.
As we play for mint juleps and playing "My Hometown Kentucky" let's dive into the fields of 2025 and how to bet.
First, understand the unpredictability of the Kentucky Derby. Favorite matches have won less than 35% of the matches (40 times) since 1908, and not once in the last five years.
There are two categories of bets in horse racing: straight and exotic. A direct bet involves a horse. An exotic bet involves multiple horses.
The three most basic bets are direct bets. They bet on a horse to win, place or perform. Choosing a horse to "win" is exactly what you think. You bet on a specific horse to win the race. Betting on a horse to "location" means you are betting on the horse to finish first or second horse. The bet on the bet of "show" is on the bet, and the horse will end first, second or third.
In the simplest terms, exotic bets are parlays with multiple horses:
Accurate: Bet two horses and end the race in that order.
Fifteen people: Bet two horses, ending first and second in the race in any order.
Trifecta: Bet three horses, ending the first, second and third time in that order.
SuperFecta: Bet four horses, ranking first, second, third and fourth in that order.
Now that you know some terms, let's dive into the field.
"News" is a 7-2 favorite. Next is Sandman (5-1), American Promise (8-1) and Sovereignty (11-1).
Bull No. 1 (17-1)
- Jockey: Martin Garcia | Trainer: Bob Baffert
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2024 Breeders Cup Teenager
- Fun fact: This will be Garcia's fifth derby. His best result was third in Dortmund in 2015.
No. 2 Neequo (60-1)
- Jockey: Flavien Pratt | Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Little.
- Career Highlights: Ranked No. 3 in the Fountain of Youth Betting
- Fun fact: Breeding in Florida, the new Equos tries to become Florida's seventh horse to win the Kentucky Derby. The last one is the silver charm of 1997.
No. 3 final gambit (17-1)
- Jockey: Luan Machado | Trainer: Brad H. Cox
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Jeff Ruby Steak
- Fun fact: The Kentucky Derby will be Gambit’s first game on the dirt.
No. 4 Rodriguez (9-1)
- Jockey: Michael Smith | Trainer: Bob Baffert
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Timber Memorial Hall
- Fun fact: Rodriguez's victory all came in line to line, he believed to be early or near the Derby.
United States Promise No. 5 (12-1)
- Jockey: Nik Juarez | Trainer: D. WayneLukas
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Virginia Derby
- Interesting fact: The term “U.S. commitment” is also related to the few moments leading to the passage of the Voting Rights Act.
Appreciate Daytona No. 6 (40-1)
- Jockey: Christophe Lemaire | Coach: Yukihiro Kato
- Career Highlights: Winning the UAE Derby
- Fun fact: UAE Derby won the fourth consecutive match.
Luxor Cafe No. 7 (14-1)
- Jockey: TBA | Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
- Highlights of the competition: Winning the 2025 Fukuri Stock
- Fun fact: Luxor Cafe won three games in Japan to qualify for the Kentucky Derby. The trainer and horse are in their first match outside Japan.
News No. 8 (4-1)
- Jockey: Umberto Rispoli | Trainer: Mike McCarthy
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Santa Anita Derby
- Fun fact: Curlin (the father of journalism) won the winners of Preakness, Belmont Stakes and Breeders Cup Classic, but not the Kentucky Derby.
Burnham Square No. 9 (22-1)
- Jockey: Brian T. Hernandez, Jr. | Trainer: Ian R. Wilkes
- Career Highlights: Winning the Bluegrass Bet in 2025
- Fun fact: Burnham Square's grandfather was the 1990 Derby champion.
No. 10 (17-1)
- Jockey: John Velazquez | Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher
- Career Highlights: Ranked second in the Wood Memorial, qualifying for the derby.
- Fun fact: Pletcher and Velazquez won the derby with Super Saver in 2010 and always dreamed in 2017.
Flying No. 11 Mohawk (39-1)
- Jockey: Joseph Ramos | Trainer: D. WhitworthBeckman
- Career Highlights: The Second Jeff Ruby Steak in 2025
- Fun fact: The Kentucky Derby will play dirt on Mohawk.
No. 12 East Avenue (36-1)
- Jockey: Luan Machado | Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh
- Career Highlights: Bluegrass Bet 2025
- Fun fact: East Avenue's father, Medaglia D'Oro, played in all three triple-champions in 2002, ranked fourth in the Kentucky Derby, eighth in Preakness and second in Belmont.
Publisher No. 13 (33-1)
- Jockey: Flavia Prat | Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
- Career Highlights: Ranked No. 2 in Thearkansas Derby
- Fun fact: Asmussen is the most winning coach of all time, amassing over 10,000 wins in the coaching team.
Tiztastic No. 14 (19-1)
- Jockey: Joel Rosario | Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Louisiana Derby
- Fun fact: Asmussen's father and his two sons are both jockeys.
Rendering Judgment No. 15 (12-1)
- Jockey: Julien Leparoux | Trainer: Kenneth G. McPeek
- Career Highlights: Ranked 5th in Bluegrass Bet
- Fun fact: The Kentucky Derby will be Leparoux's first ride on rendering judgments.
Coal War No. 16 (31-1)
- Jockey: Juan P. Vargas | Trainer: Lonnie Briley
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Rebel Bet
- Fun facts: Coal Wars’ parents, Coal Front and Wolf Blade are descendants of Seattle Slew.
No. 17 Sandman (5-1)
- Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz | Trainer: Mark Casse
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Arkansas Derby
- Fun fact: Tapit (Sandman's Sire) is the first in the lifetime 1st grade champion and is the historically leading father of the graduate.
Sovereignty No. 18 (11-1)
- Jockey: Manuel Franco | Trainer: William I. Mott
- Career Highlights: Winning the 2025 Youth Fountain
- Fun fact: Mott is a resilience coach who ranked sixth in Derby last year.
Gold No. 19 (37-1)
- Jockey: Jareth Loveberry | Trainer: Ethan W. West
- Career Highlights: Louisiana Derby 2025
- Fun fact: This is Loveberry's second derby trip. He rode two Phils to second in 2023.
No. 20 Irving All-Around (44-1)
- Jockey: TBA | Trainer: Brian Lynch
- Career Highlights: Winning the Tampa Bay Derby with the second fastest time in game history.
- Fun fact: Irad Ortiz Jr. Rode Owen is all-around in Tampa, but for Derby, that's a problem.
Kentucky Derby Prediction
Drew Dinsick of NBC Sports likes "American Promise", the youngest horse in the field, won the victory on Saturday.
There is a strong opinion on a race as broad and unpredictable as the Kentucky Derby. It's undoubtedly a very powerful field, totally valuable in "news", but I'm attracted by the legitimate commitment of Colt trained by D. Wayne Lukas.
In my opinion, the US promise was a later foal, and now it has just been integrated into the horses to beat this game. His Virginia Derby frolic is a sign of what’s coming and I think he has a huge run on him on Saturday to stop this competitive field. Expect "America's Promise" to track quickly half a mile and be in the ideal position to lead the final round, and hope his lineage and recent developments will help him maintain his momentum. I hope we get a 15-1 price for this potential breakthrough superstar. - Dinsick
Al Bernstein of NBC Sports expects "news" to be placed, but only wins.
The press is a favorite in the morning and he is probably the fastest horse in the race. His stalking style, however, can see that he either gets stuck in speed or gets backed up his face in the later advance. In my top five, I have four closers and “news” and I see my favorite people getting caught.
None of those close-up wins would surprise me. These include “Publishers”, which will be a huge price and never won the game. He could give Steve Asmussen his first derby title on 0-for-26. This is how I see it done:
First: Sandman
Second: News
Third: Sovereignty
Fourth: Burnham Square
Fifth: Publisher. - Bernstein