In early April, a four-day historical storm that caused death and destruction in the central Mississippi valley was more likely to burn fossil fuels.
Between April 3 and 6, record rainfall was dumped in eight southern and midwest states, causing widespread catastrophic flooding that caused at least 15 people, flooded crops, damaged houses, sweeping vehicles and causing power outages in hundreds of thousands of homes.
World Weather Attribution (WWA) research found that floods are about 9% of intensity caused by rainfall, possibly due to human-induced climate change by 40%. Uncertainty in the model means that the role of climate crisis may be higher.
Nine other people died from tornadoes and strong winds, with economic losses estimated to range between $8 billion and $90 billion.
Record rainfall is largely driven by the warm ocean temperatures of the Gulf of Mexico, which supply storm humidity, which drops in Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Tennessee and Alabama. Overall, the human-induced climate crisis makes surface SST 2.2F (1.2C) hotter, and now this ocean condition is 14 times more likely than a cooler pre-industrial world.
In recent years, including Hurricane Helene in September, the area was hit by several deadly storms, mostly killing more than 230 people due to heavy rain and flooding.
But the death toll could be worse last month due to the study authors - if not for the 24/7 forecast and early warning (NWS) forecast and early warning, thanks to the significant layoffs and layoffs faced by Donald Trump and his billionaire donor Elon Musk.
Overall, the NWS issued 728 different severe thunderstorms and tornado warnings, the third highest number on record - helping local authorities issue timely evacuation orders and locate emergency resources that save lives.
"These floods didn't make the front page, but there should be. At least 15 people died, houses were destroyed, and farmland turned into swamps," said Friederike Otto, senior lecturer in climate science for climate change and the environment at the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. “In an increasingly dangerous extreme weather world, a well-resourced predictive workforce is crucial. Recent layoffs of national meteorological service staff will put lives at risk.”
The combination of weather patterns, including two collisions of air quality, created a storm that lasted the region for several days of doomsday weather, including hundreds of tornadoes, hail, landslides and wind events. According to historical data, similar downpours are expected to occur on average about a century in today's climate, while pre-industrial levels are 2.3f higher.
However, things got worse further. The study found that if the transition from oil, gas and coal to renewable energy continued at today's snail speed, the likelihood of four-day rainfall would be twice as likely as in 2100, with a 7% increase in intensity.
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The NWS is one of the major federal agencies under attack on the Trump administration, researching, preparing for and responding to extreme weather events that have been overwhelmed by the climate crisis.
Nearly half of NWS offices have vacancy rates of 20%, twice as high as shorts 10 years ago. According to CNN, 30 of the 122 NWS local offices have no chief meteorologists, including several storm strikes in Kentucky, Ohio and Tennessee, among the massive layoffs and acquisitions.
Trump’s climate-related cuts depend on policies that promote fossil fuels and block renewable energy as the United States boasts itself for another year of destructive wildfires, extreme temperatures and Atlantic storms.
“We are dealing with floods, droughts, wildfires and heat waves, which are multiple times at once – and science continues to confirm that as the planet heats up, they become increasingly dangerous,” Shel Winkley said. “Understanding exactly when and where these unnatural extremes will happen is crucial to protecting public safety.”
This is the 101st WWA study, a decade-old initiative that promotes rapid scientific analysis of global heating and deforestation-driven global heating and deforestation-driven global heating and deforestation-driven humans, thereby changing the possibility and intensity of local extreme weather events. The latest research was conducted by 15 researchers as part of the World Weather Attribution Team, including scientists from universities and meteorological agencies in the United States, the United Kingdom, France and the Netherlands.